DC大于C|Dec 08, 2025 13:50
After the weekend, although there was a slight dip last night, it was still fluctuating in the 85-94 range, and now it has rebounded above 905
As shown in the picture, don't say I always have this picture.
After a decline of nearly 20%, it takes time to repair the market.
To achieve a trend rebound, it is necessary to have positive expectations at the macro level, and at the same time, the price should be above 104, or at least above 101.
The most important thing next is the interest rate meeting on December 11th. Currently, the CME's expectation for a rate cut in December is close to 90%. Interest rate cuts are highly probable
Mainly looking at Lao Bao's expectations for the 26 year dot matrix diagram. Can it be greater than or equal to 2 times
In addition, there is also the possibility of purchasing bonds in 26 years, which is a better reflection of liquidity and may emotionally stimulate the market more than a dot matrix.
If hawks speak, the market may still not rise. Of course, personally I hope to know if the new chairman can speak to ease the pressure on the old Bao Ying faction.
After the interest rate meeting, the data for November will be released. Let's see if we can expect a rate cut in January next year.
I personally prefer this month to be more volatile, in the 85-94 range. In the past, it took about 2 months to repair the market, but currently it's only been a month.
Of course, it still depends on whether there are any loose expectations in the future, such as the expectation of interest rate cuts next year, the expectation of bond purchases, etc
Once there is a boost to emotions, prices can also be helpful.
So for now, let's wait for the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting.
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