加密前线(糖哥)|Dec 08, 2025 06:17
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC
BTC hit a low rebound around the support of 879 given on Saturday, and slowly rose under pressure around the suppression of 920 given on the weekend. The high and low points of price fluctuations are within the range predicted by the structure, but in the trend where the upward space is largely enclosed, I personally dare not have too many expectations. With the continuation of the wide range oscillation in the past 20 days, the structure is gradually increasing.
From the trend of daily and above levels:
Up: There are dense bearish patterns generated around 100000 (± 2000); On the trend, the K-line is already on the bearish side. This all determines that the height of price reversal is limited.
Downward: There is no strong support nearby, only a large level reserved insertion point. If it falls again, compared to the pullback in the bullish trend, it will only fall deeper and faster here.
Returning to the topic, from the K-line after November 20th, although the low point during this period continues to rise, the price has not broken through and stabilized before reaching 94600. Regardless of the bottoming out pattern within this range, it can be seen as a small trick of the main force to "strike east and west, but show off its ability", which belongs to the downward relay structure.
Even if we recover 94600, the suppression near the 100000 mark will be even heavier, and it will only be a small-scale operation that will not change anything in the trend. The faster it rises, the faster it will fall. Therefore, we only reserve a second retracement after high selling and volume recovery of 94600, and do not chase the first rise during the breakthrough process. On the contrary, this week's focus is on reserving a low multiple point after a significant decline.
Based on the trends of other internal levels, due to this being the first time falling below the trend, it is not believed that the market will continue to decline, or that the army of retail investors waiting for the weekly pullback is constantly buying or holding positions, combined with the large volume of main chips fleeing at key positions, resulting in a complex structure within the limited volatility space.
Summary: The current structure is tentatively set as a downtrend relay pattern within a bearish trend, and this pattern is in the late stage of a sideways trend. Before recovering from 94600, the main reserve is a secondary pullback at the daily line level. The support I will provide in the future will generally be relatively low, please understand. Those who can do it will focus on short-term structures and control their holding time within 2-4 hours for self operation. Those who cannot do it will not need to do it recently.
Short term support 83310~82140 (fast in and fast out), long-term pending reference 74500~69800 (1:2), short-term suppression 96400~99450 (stagflation area), second suppression 100700~103488 (can be done after reaching near 94600)
Note: In the trend of various levels, the forces of both long and short sides are intertwined, and the trend is not clear. While preventing further decline, it is important to reduce operations. Wait until the iconic bullish or bearish candlestick appears before looking.
This article focuses on high-level perspectives, with time constraints and follow-up on other ideas. BTC
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