律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|12月 06, 2025 13:59
[Bitunix Analyst: PCE Turns Slightly Dovish, Rate Cut Expectations Rise, BTC Holds $89,000 Entering Key Rebound Window] BlockBeats News, December 6: The U.S. released delayed September PCE inflation data yesterday, with the core PCE annual growth rate falling to 2.8%, a five-month low and slightly below the upper market expectations, providing more room for the Federal Reserve to cut rates in December. Overall inflation shows a 'slowing but not completely out of danger' trend. The market has thus priced in a 'soft landing' path in advance: the U.S. dollar index continued to decline, U.S. Treasury yields fell, and U.S. stocks extended moderate gains. However, the crypto market decoupled from the stock market, with Bitcoin briefly dropping to the $87,000 range after the announcement, fluctuating about 3% over 24 hours. This was mainly influenced by options expirations, MicroStrategy pressure, and volatility in the Asian market rather than inflation itself. Major cryptocurrencies also pulled back, but BTC ETFs still recorded nearly $60 million in net inflows, reflecting that institutional buying has not retreated, and market panic sentiment has recovered from extreme levels to a more neutral range. In the short term, BTC's key support lies in the $89,000–$90,700 range. As long as this level holds, the structure still has room to extend. Resistance is located at $94,400 and $97,000, and under a dovish environment, a rebound window is likely. If $89,000 is lost, caution is needed for a technical correction down to $85,000. This week's focus shifts to the December 10 FOMC meeting, where rate cut expectations are nearly fully priced in, and the market will increasingly rely on data validation going forward. Bitunix Analyst: Cooling inflation injects mild positives into the market, but the crypto capital structure remains sensitive and prone to event-driven shocks. In the short term, it is still a tug-of-war between 'macro positives vs. internal noise.' Whether BTC can hold above $89,000 will determine if it can capture the momentum from policy easing for a year-end rally. Capital flows and changes in risk appetite will be the core indicators to watch moving forward.
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