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Jim Bianco
Jim Bianco|12月 04, 2025 13:40
Politico released a poll this morning with these alarming results: --- Almost half — 46 percent — say the cost of living in the U.S. is the worst they can ever remember it being, a view held by 37 percent of 2024 Trump voters. Americans also say that the affordability crisis is Trump’s responsibility, with 46 percent saying it is his economy now and his administration is responsible for the costs they struggle with. --- You would be correct to say the rate of inflation was worse in 2022, when it hit 9%, but I think the poll respondents are answering a different question: they're talking about the cumulative rise over the last five years. And on this front, you'd have to go back 45 to 50 years to remember a worse time, so those under 60 (or 55) are correct. I would argue this is a textbook definition of unanchored inflation, the very thing that keeps central bankers awake at night. These results should equally alarm the Federal Reserve, as inflation is its mandate. Jay Powell mouthing the words "inflation expectations remain well contained" at next week's press conference does not make this go away. In fact, it might anger the public that he doesn't care. I really want to explain in great detail why they think that, to fix this problem, they need to cut rates.(Jim Bianco)
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Timeline

12月 31, 09:57The US dollar is likely to record its worst annual performance since 2017.
12月 31, 01:46Federal Reserve's 2026 Interest Rate Path Divergence Intensifies
12月 30, 19:45Some Federal Reserve officials are cautious about cutting interest rates.
12月 22, 11:34FOMC members are unwilling to support a fourth consecutive rate cut.
12月 21, 08:49Tom Lee's Outlook on Market Trends for 2026
12月 19, 22:43Federal Reserve Governor Milan: Interest rates should be lowered to address risks in the job market
12月 19, 19:31Inflation indicators lag behind rent inflation
12月 19, 19:31Inflation is moving in the right direction.
12月 19, 14:25The default rate of U.S. companies has decreased, but the risk of re-default remains.
12月 18, 14:02U.S. CPI rises by 2.7%, lower than expected

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