Phyrex
Phyrex|Nov 29, 2025 23:07
The classic case of 'buy high when it’s rising, and don’t dare to buy when it’s falling'—that’s exactly what Skipping Class Bro is talking about. This essentially comes down to a lack of understanding of the market. I’m not asking everyone to dive deep into monetary policy or U.S. political dynamics, but having a general understanding of these topics can help avoid the mindset of 'price goes up because the whales are pumping' or 'price goes down because the whales are dumping.' Especially when it comes to BTC and leading U.S. stocks, many friends think that every time I do a post-mortem analysis of a drop, I’m just finding reasons after the fact or forcing connections. But for me personally, it’s about refining my logic for market judgment. For example, if you had asked me back in May this year whether Bitcoin would drop below $80,000, I would’ve told you it’s impossible unless there’s an economic recession. That’s the narrowness of judgment because I overlooked the complexity of financial assets. Then we had another round of U.S.-China tariffs, multiple geopolitical conflicts, the Fed’s ongoing monetary policies, and even a record-breaking government shutdown—all of which led to liquidity shortages. These combined factors all have an impact on risk markets. But the key is to focus on the main narrative. As long as you hold onto the main thread, even if you can’t perfectly time the top, at least you can roughly estimate when it’s time to buy the dip during a downturn. Take this recent dip, for example. It was obvious that Williams’ speech last Friday directly reversed investors’ expectations that the Fed wouldn’t cut rates in December. The drop was triggered by Powell’s earlier stance that there wouldn’t be a rate cut in December. Bitget VIP—lower fees, bigger perks!
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