
Dan Gambardello|Nov 26, 2025 15:07
"We're entering a bear market."
I keep seeing this.
So I keep digging into the macro data. And that's not what appears to be happening at all...
→ QT ends December 1st
→ RRP drained from $2.5T to basically zero
→ TGA elevated (any drawdown injects liquidity)
→ Longest manufacturing contraction on record (26 months)
→ Net liquidity flattening
This is not a bear market setup.
This is the setup that comes before a next leg.
I think there is a possibility people are reacting only to price, and not the macro.(Dan Gambardello)
Timeline