
DC大于C|Nov 25, 2025 13:49
Changes in On Chain Chip Accumulation from SOL 11.18 to 11.25, Restoring Market Behavior Weekly Report Updated Every Tuesday
The market sentiment panic has eased. Today is both a daily report update and a weekly report.
Over the past week, the US Treasury Department's account balance [TGA] has been slowly released. The probability of a rate cut in December was originally less than 40%, but on Friday Williams announced his support for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in December
Then yesterday, Waller and Daley also gave speeches supporting the Fed's interest rate cut in December, and today Nick hinted at a rate cut in December as well
Just now, Federal Reserve Governor Milan also stated that the economy needs a significant interest rate cut. I hope the employment data can persuade other members of the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
Then CME showed that the probability of interest rate cuts in December rebounded by more than 80%
The market panic has also eased, and BTC prices have rebounded above 82-85, driving SOL to slowly rise to the upper half of the 123-138 range.
Looking back and forth at the data chart, the changes in position and proportion in the chart were from the 18th to 8:00 am on November 25th, where red represents selling and blue represents buying.
I don't know if the data was contaminated this week because there were some issues with the accumulation of price chips, but fortunately, I calculated the overall change and it's okay. It can be seen.
From the 18th to the 25th of November, there were also over 30 million chip changes in a week, with the most frequent being the fear of buying at the bottom before 140-162 and running away.
And the higher priced chips in front of 180-238 also have a meat cutting stance, which is also frightening. And there aren't many early chips under 120 that have left, less than 400000.
All of the above have been switched to the range of $120-140. This is also the oscillation range for price recovery as the probability of interest rate cuts increases after the dip.
At present, the first chip stacking position is 185, and the second chip stacking position is 138, the same as last week. Then the high stakes chips that got on the car ahead are being consumed downwards
Still chasing the rise and killing the fall is still the keyword of this week.
The probability of a macro game interest rate cut in December has greatly increased, and currently the probability has rebounded to around 84%. This week, the US stock market only opened for 3 days and closed, and with Thursday's PCE data delayed until December.
At present, the sentiment is still stable, and the market may still have a bit of a wait-and-see mentality. Perhaps we can continue to rebound only after more certain information about interest rate cuts.
I hope that during the US stock market shutdown, there won't be any problems
Because once the expectation of interest rate cuts is hit, emotions may panic again
The current support range is between 123-138, which is also in the upper half of the price range of 123-138. It depends on the macro dominated market sentiment for the next week. After all, there are still about three weeks left until the December interest rate meeting.
The above is not intended as investment advice and is provided for reference and learning.
Thank you everyone, the weekly report will continue to be updated next Tuesday.
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