飞龙财经|Nov 22, 2025 03:32
Macro market analysis on May 22, 2023
Good morning, brothers. Yesterday it almost fell below 80000. This round of decline is a bit strange. It's not a sudden rebound and continued decline, but a crazy and severe drop.
Who exactly is it! Selling value coins at all costs?
After analyzing for a day, I feel that this is the reason.
Why did Nvidia's profits exceed expectations? The US stock market was supposed to rise well the night before yesterday, but suddenly plummeted? With a sharp drop in the cryptocurrency market, global financial markets also experienced a downturn
The reason may be that the Epstein Archive may cause a bloody storm. The Epstein Archive Transparency Act has been signed into law by Kawako and is expected to be announced soon. Kawako has been holding back on publishing it, but the public is furious. Many people in the Republican Party are forcing him to publish it, and the whole world is watching.
This file will involve heavyweight billionaire financiers, possibly high-level politicians, and even some well-known financial figures.
So these people are afraid of scandal exposure and sell their financial assets in advance. In addition, the market is also concerned about this situation, so some people liquidate their positions in advance.
This is considered a black swan and difficult to prevent.
Where is the bottom? How will we proceed in the future?
Two days ago, an ETF outflow of 900 million US dollars led to a significant drop yesterday. Yesterday, an ETF inflow of $300 million hit the bottom, which is a good sign.
Let's talk about the conclusion:
(1) Around 80000 should be the bottom. Yesterday's trading volume was even higher than that of October 11th, with a huge volume of transactions. Those who should have cut their meat were all cut, and the bottom chips were also collected. Therefore, 80000 is a temporary bottom, and the rebound may rebound to 90000
(2) Next week, it will rebound to around 90000 yuan, but if there are still black swans, it may rebound to 80000 yuan (30% possible). This trend will continue until mid December
(3) The non farm payroll data on December 16th will bring a turning point
Yesterday, Federal Reserve officials spoke out intensively, with hawks and doves tearing each other apart. The probability of a December interest rate cut skyrocketed, but if non farm bearish sentiment persists, there will be another wave of correction. If positive news emerges, it will bounce back to $100000
(4) Now is a very suitable time for bottom fishing
Attention: Only recommend Da Bing. Do not cut meat at this position. The panic index has fallen to a new low, and all kinds of leveraged contracts have been liquidated (Maji has exploded 150 times). No one can copy to the bottom. Next year's bear market in the cryptocurrency industry, ready to enter the gold market!
Analysis is only a friendly reference. Adults should take responsibility for their own decisions. Investment carries risks, so please invest with spare money and think and judge independently!
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