Bill The Investor|11月 20, 2025 03:33
To make long-term money in Polymarket, it's not about betting on a big market trend, but finding a profitable role that you can replicate. I have divided the most stable and profitable wallets into approximately 5 strategies, each with a real wallet link for you to explore on your own
① News Rush/HFT Type
Core: The first step is to convert "news → market price" into a few minutes/seconds difference between information and price. Suitable for people who monitor terminals and browse Telegram/X.
Typical wallet:
Car (widely recognized news high-frequency trader)
https://((((((polymarket.com))))))/@Car
You can specifically look at his history: mine explosions, Iran/Israel, Middle East outbursts, Trump's sudden statements, almost all of which are news stories that quickly take sides and then run away before prices return to rationality.
② In depth research/high conviction steering wheel
Core: Less but more precise, betting on the overall direction+receiving payment over a long period of time. It relies on research on political structures, systems, election rules, and polling biases, rather than emotions.
Typical wallet:
RememberAmalek (heavy warehouse NYC, mayor VP、 Complex events such as the South Korean election
https://((((((polymarket.com))))))/profile/0x6139c42e48cf190e67a0a85d492413b499336b7a
AENews2 (Rule Party+Rule Party, often directly cutting terms with UMA/official in the comment section)
https://((((((polymarket.com))))))/profile/0x44c1dfe43260c94ed4f1d00de2e1f80fb113ebc1
Typical characteristics of this type of person:
The position is not large, but the single transaction is very large and the holding time is long
Often standing in the opposite direction of polls/media amidst the condemnation of the entire internet
The profit curve is "step like", relying on a few big wins to erase a bunch of small losses
③ Price behavior/handicap structure for players
Core: Almost does not care about "who will be the president", only cares about market structure, liquidity depth, and emotional fluctuations, earning the dislocation of orderbook.
Typical wallet:
YatSen (Top political trader, skilled at "washing people" in orderbooks)
https://((((((polymarket.com))))))/profile/0x5bffcf561bcae83af680ad600cb99f1184d6ffbe
You go see his history:
Many stocks are not the first to enter the market, but they repeatedly trade within the range of 0.6-0.9
Especially when fake news and fake polls emerge, there is a large amount of betting against market sentiment in reverse
Extremely sensitive to the depth of orderbooks, often using tens of thousands of dollars to create "wrong prices" and make others take over the orders
④ Bonding/almost locked odds+fund management
Core: We only deal with "almost certain odds" that are severely imbalanced, relying on the amount of funds and patience, and annualized more like bonds.
Typical wallet:
Scottilicious (ranked high in PredictFolio, typical of "late stage high-value buying Ye/No")
https://((((((polymarket.com))))))/profile/0x000d257d2dc7616feaef4ae0f14600fdf50a758e
You can verify his gameplay by yourself:
Many times, they only make a move when the odds are already 80-95%
Funds are highly diversified and individual risks are controllable, but overall PnL is very stable
Extremely sensitive to 'tail risk': Interpret the terms, read the resolution source carefully, and then decide whether to fill the position
⑤ Liquidity reward/reward farmers (not relying on guessing directions)
Core: Don't care about who wins or loses, only focus on which pools provide liquidity and get the most incentive, more like DeFi market making.
Typical wallet:
Pootyytherwardfarmer (whose name already has the strategy written on their face)
https://(polymarketanalytics.com)/traders/0xa3e22cd32aa9238ef7dbcfb4761e33b9eaa1fdf8
ImJustKen/JustPunched (steering wheel+reward farmer double repair, received 7-digit liquidity reward)
https://((((((polymarket.com))))))/profile/0x9d84ce0306f8551e02efef1680475fc0f1dc1344
Look at their characteristics:
Many markets have large pending orders on both sides and do not hold significant unilateral risks
In markets with high reward weights, positions are significantly enlarged
Real PnL comes from: transaction fees+rewards - extreme market stampede losses
How should you use these wallets?
one ️⃣ First, choose an ability that you can objectively replicate
Watch news quickly → Learn Car
I enjoy gnawing on PDFs, magic strips, and poll crosstabs → Learn AENews2/RememberAmalek
Familiar with market trading and have experience in daily trading of stocks/futures → Learn YatSen/Scottilicious
Experience in DeFi/Market Making → Learn Pooty/ImJustKen
two ️⃣ Open these links and treat them as public textbooks rather than beliefs:
Filter by category: only look at one category (election/Middle East/Fed/Sports)
According to the timeline: rhythm of entry and exit, logic of adding and subtracting warehouses
Comparing news timelines: Ask yourself, 'Would I have made the same decision back then?'
three ️⃣ The most important one:
Don't rush to copy their current warehouse,
First, understand how they came about their past 10 wins and 3 sell offs.
Few people on Polymarket who truly make long-term money rely solely on their "sixth sense"; Either it's information advantage, research depth, understanding of the market, or simply not guessing the direction and earning rewards.
You don't need to become the next whale, just choose a character and gradually train yourself to be that kind of person.
PS: The above wallet links are publicly available on the chain and are only suitable for use as learning samples. They do not constitute any investment advice and do not guarantee continued earnings in the future.
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