
律动BlockBeats|11月 17, 2025 09:53
BitUnix analyst: Whale accelerates sell-off, not panic, but risk lies in liquidity gap
According to BlockBeats news, on November 17th, on chain data showed that multiple "whales" with holdings of over a thousand coins have recently concentrated on selling, causing the price of Bitcoin to drop from below 100000 to around 97000 US dollars. Both the exchange and derivatives windows are experiencing selling pressure: the overall short exposure of the giant whale is higher than that of long orders (showing short orders of about 2.17 billion US dollars and long orders of about 1.18 billion US dollars on the chain), while the Bitcoin ETF has had net outflows for several consecutive weeks, with a cumulative outflow of about billions of US dollars in the past five weeks, and the demand side's carrying capacity has significantly decreased. Protective put options in the derivatives market are active around $90000 to $95000, indicating that the market is seeking hedging at a low level. Although large-scale sales are profit taking for long-term holders - both Glassnode and MarketVector reports lean towards "planned shipments" rather than panic liquidation - the current situation is not risk-free. The key lies in the depth of the undertaking: during the long-term sell-off from the end of last year to the beginning of this year, there were still buying opportunities in the market to absorb; At present, the outflow of ETF funds and the slowdown in institutional allocation make it easier for sell orders of the same size to amplify price fluctuations, causing a liquidation level chain reaction.
The important short-term observation levels for technology and conclusion prices are $100000 and $93000; If $93000 is confirmed to be lost, the market may test deeper liquidity zones. On the contrary, if active buying (including known large players such as Strategy) intervenes at a low level and stabilizes the ETF fund flow, it may initiate a structural rebound after deleveraging.
BitUnix analysts focus on the dynamics of the Whale Wallet and large value transfers; ETF fund flow and institutional buying and selling announcement; The open interest contracts (PUT/OI) and implied volatility changes of put options on the derivatives side - when all three turn positive at the same time, it represents a true return to buying; Otherwise, the market will still be determined by liquidity.
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