律动BlockBeats
律动BlockBeats|11月 13, 2025 12:23
[Analysis: End of Government Shutdown Does Not Eliminate Uncertainty, U.S. Treasury Volatility Index Jumps to One-Month High] BlockBeats News, November 13 – U.S. Treasury prices remained largely stable, but volatility indicators suggest potential sharp fluctuations in the coming days, following the end of the longest government shutdown in U.S. history. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield held firm at 4.08% on Thursday, while swap data tied to policy meeting dates showed mixed expectations in the money market for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next month. However, the ICE BofA MOVE Index, which measures bond market volatility, has surged to its highest level in a month after recently hitting a four-year low, indicating that the upcoming release of a large amount of economic data by the government could prompt market action. Investors in this $30 trillion market have been waiting for the resumption of government economic reports to gain clues on where the Federal Reserve might steer interest rates during its final meeting of the year. Michiel Tukker, Senior European Rates Strategist at ING, said that given the market's uncertainty about the Fed's next move, any new inflation and employment data could drive volatility at the front end of the curve. (Jin10)
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