Dan Gambardello
Dan Gambardello|Nov 05, 2025 03:07
Crypto risk is getting lower, and it's happening fast, as more and more longs get liquidated and prices keep legging down. Bitcoin at 36: Historically, at risk (36), the price was higher 70% of the time after 3 months and 91% of the time after 1 year. Altcoins at 18: Historically, at risk (18), the price was higher 62% of the time after 3 months and 90% of the time after 1 year. Something very big (and weird) is happening. It's in the charts, in the liquidations, in the comments. I've never seen anything like it. You know I don't think we're entering a bear market. I'm pretty emphatic about that. But bear market or not, these risk scores are indicative that it's time to start paying attention and drawing up an accumulation plan. Multiple altcoin models we have are sub-10 risk right now! One of my favorite plays of the cycle is DOG, and it's sitting at a 13. We’ve been talking about this for weeks. The end of QT, Clarity Act passage, shutdown ending, altcoin etf approvals. If you must be bearish, I respect it. I just don't have the appetite to take that risk. I'd rather be wrong and roundtrip into a bear market and accumulate more, than to not have proper exposure for a continued bull market. Crypto is just getting started, and I'm here for it. At the precipice of very big things. We are just getting started.(Dan Gambardello)
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