大老师Bugsbunny |DRAM UP only|11月 02, 2025 11:52
Actually, this topic can be extended
There’s still a lot to talk about
But the conclusion almost always points to
BTC lacking new funds and having too much arbitrage capital
In other words,
A bigger narrative is needed to drive off-market funds, thereby boosting off-market purchasing power
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High-level perspective:
What’s also visible is the disappearance of the MSTR premium, which will lead to a shift in BTC’s cycle skew—from shorting MSTR and longing BTC to
Closing MSTR shorts and closing BTC longs
Essentially, this reduces the resistance for BTC to break upward, similar to how ETH’s natural market maker sell pressure has decreased
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Issues that still exist:
Mainstream miners calculate based on $0.07 electricity costs, with the shutdown price around $70,000
Meanwhile, MSTR’s premium will disappear when BTC drops to $75,000
This is a fact known to all institutions in the market
It could trigger a massive negative event to clear liquidity
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This article is just to spark discussion—feel free to share your thoughts!
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