0xTmax|早餐吃油条 airdrop (Ø,G)|Oct 28, 2025 01:28
🔅How to master Polymarket and easily make money there
In mid-July, I came across the Pump Fun market. My first reaction was:
This is just free money. Spotting a price error: Using common sense to beat the market
Market quote: "Will Pump Fun airdrop additional tokens before July 31st?"
Market: 35% yes ("No" shares are 65 cents)
My guess: Token just launched on July 10th, raising 1 billion
Second airdrop 3 weeks later = self-destructive price + community outrage
True probability <5%
30%+ price error, buy "No": 65¢ → 70¢ → 75¢ Heartbeat moment: Noise crash = bottom-fishing signal
A fake Twitter account announced, "July 24th airdrop confirmed," and the founder replied.
"No" dropped from 70¢ to 50¢.
I panicked for 3 seconds, then calmed down: The logic remained the same.
A few days later, the founder clarified: No airdrops in the near future.
"No" soared to 98¢. 40-50% profit in 10 days, buying at the bottom at 50¢ = doubling your money. Opponents: You're only betting against gamblers.
Those who buy "yes":
FOMO gamblers: Chasing hot topics and believing rumors
Inflating accounts: Hoping for airdrops
Hedge traders: Hedging their bets
Hot topics + fake news = Oversold sentiment = Buying opportunities. Dual-track system: Profit + farm airdrops.
A. Profitable positions
Single trade ≤ 5-10% of capital
Only mispricing ≥ 20%
1-2 trades per month, 100%+ annualized
B. Airdrop positions (9 wallets): 200-500 per month per package
Highly popular market
Small fish > whales
Polymarket valuation: 1 billion, investors: Polychain, Thiel, Vitalik
Poly market cap: 1 billion, investors: Polychain, Thiel, Vitalik
Future 10-20 billion, a 10% airdrop = a nine-digit boost
Mindset: Use it effectively, and you'll have a chance to master the 4-step strategy Without looking at the market, what probability do I give it?
What is the market price?
Is the market wrong? Why is it wrong?
Who is the opponent? Why is it wrong?
A price error > 20% + a gambler opponent = a practical betting philosophy
Poor liquidity, small capital is sufficient
Bet a few hundred to a few thousand dollars 1-2 times a month
Invest 10,000 and earn 100-200 = high EV
Accumulate trading volume from June to December, and farm as you go
Conclusion: The formula for making money
1,500 in 10 days, not much.
Key point: Use common sense to make money, while paving the way for a potential airdrop in 2026.
Every step is positive EV. At Polymarket, you're betting not just on events,
but also on your understanding of the world. Want to make money?
Next time you check the market, ask yourself:
"If there were no market, what probability would I give it?" Then, go for it.
@Polymarket @PolymarketTrade(0xTmax|早餐吃油条 airdrop (Ø,G))
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