
福禄寿OTC|Oct 16, 2025 04:52
The cryptocurrency market has undergone a fundamental shift. The old 'four-year halving cycle' theory for Bitcoin worked when the market was small and retail-driven; now, the market is dominated by institutions, and its rhythm depends on global liquidity and policies from central banks like the Federal Reserve. We are currently in a liquidity-driven 'super cycle,' with the peak likely to occur in early 2026 after the Fed begins easing monetary policy.
Investment logic has also changed: broad market rallies are a thing of the past, and the era of blindly speculating on altcoins to get rich quick is over. Capital will become 'smarter,' flowing more selectively into high-quality projects that have been vetted and truly demonstrate strength and support. This cycle will be a victory for value investing and market maturity.
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