BTC The current move from the bear market bottom to the recent all time high is now near equal length of the previous two market cycles. For every 4 year cycle believer, this would indicate that the cycle is close to an end. Whether this ends up being true or not, no one knows with absolute certainty. People in the 5 year or super cycle camp got some arguments as to why this is different. One being how correlated bitcoin now is to macro and another one being how steady this cycle has been compared to the previous parabolic runs. Which makes it less likely that it randomly tops out. Both good arguments I think, and I do believe over time the cycles will be phasing out and volatility will come down as we've already been seeing. One thing I do want to throw out there is the fact that even if a smaller percentage of market participants does believe in the 4 year cycle, they might end up selling over the weeks to come, which could put some pressure on. This is how in previous cycles this also became a bit of a self fulfilling prophecy. A lot of these same people are up anywhere from 5-8x on their Bitcoin buys if they bought it anywhere in 2022/23 so that's not a bad return at all in such a short timeframe. Do you believe in the 4 year cycle? Or is that history? Personally pretty conflicted. Looking at the high timeframe chart it doesn't seem like there's a lot of reason to expect a top yet. Neither does the macro picture. But I do think some people will just sell regardless, based on how previous cycles have done. But will that matter if ETFs are buying billions a week? Curious to hear your guys' thoughts. Good to keep an eye on price action at all times. In the end I would always let the chart do the talking on these higher timeframes. The trend is your friend after all :) Going to be an interesting end of 2025 I think.(Daan Crypto Trades)