
币圈老鱼🚀🚀|Sep 28, 2025 14:26
Go with the big trend, defy the small trend. Right now, the 'big trend' is the altcoin bull market over the next three months, while the 'small trend' is the recent pullback, or maybe even a potential double bottom. The key question is whether you and I have the courage to 'defy the small trend'—the more it drops, the more we buy.
Human nature tends to favor high certainty. For example, people often ask me: 'Old Fish, can you give me a 100% guaranteed moonshot?' It’s like poker players who only dare to make a move when they have the Nuts—over the long term, they’re bound to lose.
In investing, there’s no such thing as 100%. Everything is about probabilities, and there’s always risk, whether big or small. If there really were a 100% opportunity, you wouldn’t even get a chance to board the train. What we can do is look for opportunities with a bit more certainty amidst the uncertainty, and then place our bets.
Now is the best time window.
Actually, I already saw last night that there was a possibility of ETH testing the bottom again. Before bed, I even mentioned it in the members' group, saying there was a 50% chance of a double bottom. I then reduced my position accordingly.
So far, the double bottom hasn’t happened, but quite a few altcoins have dropped significantly. I’ve since bought back my positions. Whether or not the double bottom happens, buying the dip in batches is always a solid strategy—this comes from my experience of surviving multiple bull and bear markets.
After writing all this, I really just want to make one point: now is the time to get on board with courage. Since you’re in the crypto space, there’s always going to be some element of gambling. Right now, the risk-reward ratio is extremely favorable. If you’re not confident in the projects you’ve picked, play it safe—buying BTC or ETH is always a good choice. Move forward against the trend. #Crypto #BTC #ETH
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