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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter|Sep 27, 2025 14:20
Is the US Dollar set for a rebound? The Bloomberg US Economic Surprise Index turned positive this week for the first time since February. The index measures whether economic data comes in above or below consensus estimates. This comes as Q2 2025 GDP growth, initial jobless claims, and personal spending data all surprised to the upside. Historically, when the Economic Surprise Index rises and stays positive, the US Dollar tends to strengthen. Meanwhile, speculative USD short positions by asset managers and leveraged funds have hit their highest level since early 2021. Is a US Dollar short squeeze imminent?(The Kobeissi Letter)
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Timeline

Oct 24, 23:22Currency devaluation trades may be making a comeback
Oct 24, 21:38Offshore RMB against the USD fell 5 points compared to Thursday's New York close.
Oct 24, 19:07The record-breaking $31 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire on Halloween.
Oct 24, 14:53The strong performance of U.S. stocks and the weakening of the crypto market: reasons for the divergence
Oct 24, 05:14Bitcoin has fallen below the bull-bear dividing line for two consecutive weeks.
Oct 23, 21:35Offshore RMB against the USD remains unchanged compared to Wednesday.
Oct 23, 20:21The U.S. Dollar Index rose by 0.04% on the 23rd.
Oct 23, 13:20The proportion of stablecoins in M1 is increasing.
Oct 23, 12:05On-chain USD accounts for 2.3% of global payments
Oct 23, 10:58Bitcoin weakens while gold strengthens

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