
Zane|Sep 19, 2025 08:51
📈 Crypto Market Cycle
Scale changes the math. The base gets bigger. The multiples get smaller. What matters is where this cycle can stretch.
🔹 Historical TOTAL Market Cap Peaks
- 2013 bull: 15B
- 2017 bull: 830B
- 2021 bull: 3.0T
- 2025 (current): 4.2T
(Peaks are rounded. Current is today’s ballpark.)
🔹 Growth Multipliers
- 2013 → 2017: 55x
- 2017 → 2021: 3.6x
- 2021 → 2025 (current): 1.4x
👉 The rate of increase is slowing each cycle. From 55x to 3.6x to 1.4x.
🔹 Possible Scenarios This Cycle
- Bear case: Stays near here. Peak 4.5T–5T.
- Base case: Modest growth with broader participation. Peak 6T–7T.
- Bull case: Institutions plus retail mania plus ETF flows plus friendlier policy. Peak 8T–10T.
📝 My Take
- We are in diminishing returns mode. With 4T+ already printed, the most realistic path is a 6T–7T peak.
- 10T is a stretch but not fantasy if global liquidity, ETF demand, and a true alt rotation align.
➡️ Expect smaller multiples in future cycles as crypto shifts from startup to macro asset class.(Zane)
Share To
Timeline
HotFlash
APP
X
Telegram
CopyLink