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|Legacy
BTCBTC
💲67409.59
+
0.2%
ETHETH
💲2064.61
+
0.44%
SOLSOL
💲80.04
-
1.01%
WLDWLD
💲0.2479
-
5.49%
USDCUSDC
💲1.00
-
0%
XRPXRP
💲1.30
-
0.76%

Zane
Zane|9月 19, 2025 08:30
📈 Crypto Market Cycle Scale changes the math. The base gets bigger. The multiples get smaller. What matters is where this cycle can stretch. 🔹 Historical TOTAL Market Cap Peaks - 2013 bull: 15B - 2017 bull: 830B - 2021 bull: 3.3T - 2025 (current): 4.2T (Peaks are rounded. Current is today’s ballpark.) 🔹 Growth Multipliers - 2013 → 2017: 55x - 2017 → 2021: 4x - 2021 → 2025 (current): 1.25x 👉 The rate of increase is slowing each cycle. From 55x to 4x to 1.25x. 🔹 Possible Scenarios This Cycle - Bear case: Stays near here. Peak 4.5T–5T. - Base case: Modest growth with broader participation. Peak 6T–7T. - Bull case: Institutions plus retail mania plus ETF flows plus friendlier policy. Peak 8T–10T. 📝 My Take - We are in diminishing returns mode. With 4T+ already printed, the most realistic path is a 6T–7T peak. - 10T is a stretch but not fantasy if global liquidity, ETF demand, and a true alt rotation align. - Expect smaller multiples in future cycles as crypto shifts from startup to macro asset class.(Zane)
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Timeline

10月 18, 21:31Ethereum hasn't risen to 10K yet.
10月 18, 17:31Scarcity of liquidity in the financial system raises concerns
10月 18, 16:01SLERF rose this week but will be delisted.
10月 18, 14:48Bull markets typically stay above their 200-day moving average.
10月 18, 13:46Liquidity crash: Event occurred between 21:18 and 21:20
10月 18, 02:45Market signals are mixed, analysis is both bullish and bearish.
10月 17, 19:19Bitcoin liquidity rises again
10月 17, 18:44Bull markets often have spikes, an analysis of the spike phenomenon
10月 17, 16:55Cryptocurrency cycles are not as they seem.
10月 17, 14:38The U.S. banking system shows signs of market liquidity stress

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