DC大于C
DC大于C|Sep 16, 2025 13:23
Changes in On Chain Chip Accumulation from SOL 9.9 to 9.16, Restoring Market Behavior Weekly Report Updated Every Tuesday The chart based on SOL URPD data shows the flow of SOL on the chain from 9.9 to 9.16 at 8:00 am. Macro and event driven BTC sentiment, as well as SOL self narrative (SOL version micro strategy and SOL ETF speculation) ecology, combined with judging SOL sentiment changes This week's main focus is on inflation data. Within expectations, CPI is in line with expectations, and we will increase interest rate cuts by 25%. Then, coupled with low liquidity over the weekend, the positive sentiment drove BTC up, and SOL followed suit. Then it came to this week, approaching the interest rate meeting, and the game intensified, temporarily falling back, but the magnitude was not significant. The main issue is the magnitude of the interest rate cut at the 18th interest rate meeting, followed by the dot matrix situation. As of September before the publication, the probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut is 96%, and the probability of a 50 basis point cut is around 4%. Data source: https://www. (cmegroup.com)/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html Looking back at the data chart, the changes in position and proportion in the chart were from September 9th to 8:00 am on September 16th, where red represents selling and blue represents buying. From September 9th to September 16th, there were over 68 million chip turnover transactions in a week, with the highest turnover being between $123-209, mainly due to profitable chips in recent months. Secondly, there are early chips, which are below $100, with over 8 million chips exchanged, which is very early. All of the above have been switched to the range of 212-244 US dollars. This is also the range of price fluctuations this week. It is still driven by the overall market sentiment to make profits and sell stocks as soon as they rise. There are also buyers of SOL's micro strategy, but not many, and the final deadline for SOL spot ETF application is around October. Perhaps there is this hype. The support below 200 is still relatively stable, as long as there are no systemic problems in the overall environment, and the chip accumulation is not dense in the range of 200-240. Especially for 205-230, there is not much accumulation of chips. There is a high probability of a 25% interest rate cut at present, and it is certain that there will be no interest rate cut. If there is no interest rate cut in September, it will be a big problem. If we cut interest rates by 50, it depends on how the market interprets it. If we cut interest rates by 25%, let's take a look at the dot matrix for 2025 and 2026. Is it what Trump wants and what the market wants. The next week's main focus will be on this meeting. The above is not intended as investment advice and is provided for reference and learning. Thank you everyone, we will continue to update next Tuesday.
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