During the live broadcast of Three Kingdoms College, terrifying data is coming, can Auntie Tai once again stand on 4900?

Click on the link to join the meeting directly: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/7890471408 1、 Bitcoin (BTC) Data Analysis 1. Price positioning Current price: $115200 (± 0.6% fluctuation) Key range: $114000-116000 (high consolidation pattern) Support/Resistance: Support level: $114000 (50 day moving average+volume intensive zone) Resistance level: $116500 (formerly high pressure level) 2. Technical signals Daily level: The moving average is bullish, but there are signs of a dead cross in MACD, indicating a decline in short-term momentum Hour level: The 2-hour candlestick continues to close negative, and the RSI rebounds to around 50 after oversold, indicating short-term or volatile upward movement. Trading volume: significantly reduced (daily trading volume of 30.8 billion US dollars), with light market trading. 3. Operational suggestions Long position opportunity: If the price stabilizes at $114500, you can take a light long position with a target of $115500 Short position opportunity: If it breaks through $116500 and the closing price remains stable at that level, it can be shorted to $115000. Risk control reminder: Pay attention to the market sentiment changes before the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision (September 17) and beware of sudden fluctuations. ____________________________________ 2、 Latest data analysis of Ethereum (ETH) 1. Price positioning Current price: $4500 (± 1.2% fluctuation) Key range: $4455-4750 (key support and resistance) Support/Resistance: Support level: $4455 (weekly CME gap) Resistance level: $4650 (200 day moving average) 2. Technical signals Daily level: The moving average is bullish, but the 2-hour MACD bearish momentum has increased. Hour level: The K-line forms a "bullish swallowing" pattern, but the trading volume has not increased, and the effectiveness of the signal is questionable. On chain data: Giant Whale continues to increase its holdings (transferring 886371 ETH in a single day, worth $4.07 billion). 3. Operational suggestions Long position opportunity: If the price effectively breaks through $4600 and the closing price remains stable, you can place a long position with a target of $4700. Short position opportunity: If it falls below the support of $4455, it can be shorted to $4400. Macro linkage: Pay attention to the inflow of Bitcoin ETF funds (net inflow of $642 million on September 12), and if the inflow continues, it may boost ETH. ____________________________________ 3、 Market sentiment and macro impact 1. Expectations for Federal Reserve Policy Rate cut probability: CME FedWatch shows a 93% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September, and if realized, it could drive a rebound in risk assets. Risk Warning: If inflation data exceeds expectations, it may trigger a market correction. 2. Capital flow Bitcoin ETF: Net inflows for 5 consecutive days (cumulative over $3 billion), but spot trading volume halved (January $636 billion → August $322 billion), indicating a shift towards a "holding mode" in the market. Ethereum ecosystem: Layer 2 scaling and RWA (Real World Assets) on chain drive institutional capital inflows. 3. Technological upgrade events ZetaChain upgrade: UNISON upgrade will be conducted on September 16th, which may stimulate short-term trading volume. South Korean policy: On September 16th, the ban on VC investment in cryptocurrency companies will be lifted, which will benefit the Asian market. ____________________________________ Summary and Operational Strategy BTC: Over volatile, may test resistance at $116000 in the short term, with a breakthrough looking up at $117000; If it breaks through, it will drop to $113000. ETH: oscillating and bearish, we need to pay attention to whether the $4650 can break through with increased volume. If it fails, it may fall back on the support of $4400. Position management: Control the risk of daily trading orders within 0.5% -1%, and prioritize choosing limit orders to avoid slippage risk. Join the Three Kingdoms College Exchange Group to receive more services: 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Official QQ group: 579358784 Tencent Meeting ID: 789-047-1408 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.