财经少华
财经少华|Sep 16, 2025 08:56
September puts us at an interesting point in time. The rate-cutting cycle has been ongoing for a year—neither too fast nor too slow. Bitcoin is at $115K—not too high, not too low. Market sentiment is greedy but not crazy, cautious but not panicked. This middle ground is the hardest to judge and the ultimate test of patience. Historical experience tells us that the latter half of a rate-cutting cycle is often more exciting. After the last two rate cuts in 1995, the U.S. stock market kicked off the internet bull run. In 2020, Bitcoin only truly took off six months after rate cuts began. If history rhymes, the next 6-12 months could be a critical window. But history also tells us there are always surprises. Maybe this time, the surprise is an AI-driven productivity boom, inflation disappearing entirely, and the Fed cutting rates indefinitely. Or maybe the surprise is escalating geopolitical conflicts or a new financial crisis. The dollar-dominated monetary system is changing, the way value is stored is changing, and the speed of wealth transfer is changing. Crypto isn’t just an investment category—it’s a tiny reflection of this era of transformation. So, instead of obsessing over whether Bitcoin will hit $150K or $200K, ask yourself: Are you ready for this era of change? If your answer is YES, then congratulations. The rate-cutting cycle is just the beginning—the real show is yet to come.
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