
BlackJack|Sep 15, 2025 01:38
Back in mid-to-late August, I mentioned waiting until September to buy the dip. Now it’s all about watching where this pullback lands. Currently, the rebound is just above 50%, so the chances of revisiting new lows or not are about 50/50. The first support level below is between 11.13-11.31w. If it breaks, there’s a chance to hit around 10.5w, give or take $1,000. For ETH, there’s support at 4322-4506—let’s hope it holds; otherwise, it might head toward the 4k range.
That said, as long as the U.S. economy doesn’t fall into a recession and we’re in a cycle of 3-4 consecutive rate cuts, there’s no need to panic about a drop. Still gotta buy the dip.
The approval probability for DOGE and XRP ETFs is as high as 95%. But remember, the ETF hype is mostly about the rally before launch—once an ETF goes live, it doesn’t always mean immediate capital inflows. That’s why I sold DOGE at 0.3 over the weekend, locking in a 50% profit.
As for DOGE’s price potential, expectations have been wildly different over the past two years. Last year, I only expected it to reach 0.48, which is around the 61.8% retracement level after the 2021 peak. But back then, most holders were expecting $1, $2, or even $5. This time feels similar—during last week’s rally, slogans like DOGE to $4 or $5 were everywhere (market cap comparable to Alibaba or Tencent). I’m still leaning conservative this time and sold near the temporary peak. But who knows? Someone reminded me that during FIL’s peak in 2021, its total market cap also reached Alibaba and Tencent levels… The crypto world is truly wild. #Crypto #DOGE #XRP #BuyTheDip
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