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简体繁體English
|Legacy
BTCBTC
💲66760.64
+
0.47%
ETHETH
💲2056.55
+
0.9%
SOLSOL
💲79.79
+
0.97%
WLDWLD
💲0.2714
+
1.08%
USDCUSDC
💲1.00
-
0%
XAUXAU
💲4673.20
+
1.21%

qinbafrank
qinbafrank|9月 14, 2025 12:50
1. This crypto wave seems to be driven by a combination of fundamental changes in expectations and external capital influx, both of which are policy-driven: The consensus around Bitcoin ($BTC) is growing stronger, with penetration/adoption rates gradually increasing. Asset tokenization is changing the fundamentals for $ETH and $SOL, which is also attracting capital inflows. Of course, there’s also a speculative and emotional component involved. 2. The sustainability of fiscal expansion hinges on whether it can genuinely drive economic growth. If economic growth outpaces the rate of deficit increase, the debt-to-GDP ratio will decline. 1) At the same time, higher tariffs are generating $300–400 billion or more in annual tariff revenue, which can essentially cover the annual deficit increase from the implementation of the "Big Beautiful Bill" (estimated at $5 trillion over 10 years). 2) If interest rates are lowered again, Bank of America previously calculated that for every 1% drop in rates, U.S. government interest payments could decrease by nearly $300 billion (current annual interest payments exceed $1 trillion). From this perspective, with AI accelerating its expansion, I believe fiscal expansion during Trump’s term is sustainable. 3. Short-term inflation pressure stems from the transmission of tariff rates. In August, there were slight signs of goods inflation. Previously, I discussed here: https://(x.com)/qinbafrank/status/1962686692680400973?s=46&t=k6rimWsEbo2D2tXolYcM-A about how tariffs might moderately rise toward the end of the year and early next year, potentially peaking. In reality, as long as there’s no supply shock (like the global supply chain disruptions caused by the pandemic), inflation is unlikely to rise significantly. Moreover, the base effect of inflation will likely come into play later.
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Timeline

10月 14, 11:44Many tokens are falling now.
10月 14, 08:36The rebound of SOL is weak, requiring momentum and opportunities.
10月 14, 08:261,020,418 SOL transferred to an unknown wallet
10月 14, 08:10The market trend is definitely downward.
10月 14, 08:04The cryptocurrency encountered resistance at the 50-day EMA and showed a bearish retest.
10月 14, 08:04Percentage of the total supply of BTC, ETH, and SOL held in the crypto vault.
10月 14, 06:46Market fluctuations trigger investor reactions
10月 14, 06:03Gold, A-shares, Nikkei, and major cryptocurrencies are all falling.
10月 14, 05:53The market's profit-making effect has significantly declined.
10月 14, 05:34541,108 SOL transferred to Binance

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