Adam@Greeks.live
Adam@Greeks.live|Sep 11, 2025 04:31
Even though the Fed's interest rate decision is coming up next week, implied volatility in the options market has remained relatively stable, even showing a slight decline. The options market is pricing in low future volatility, with a consensus that a 25 basis point rate cut has already been priced in. Block trades have seen a significant increase in volume recently, accounting for more than half of daily trading volume over the past two weeks. Looking at the distribution of trades, most of the activity is concentrated in contracts expiring within the current month. The ratio of aggressive buying to aggressive selling is close, indicating significant market disagreement about the latter half of this month, though the expected volatility range is moderate. Overall, the market remains more optimistic about the outlook for Q4.
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