Is the curse of "the worst September 8th in history" reappearing in the language community live broadcast? Where will BTC go? Live streaming room layout real-time single

Click on the link to enter Tencent Meeting: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/9850662513 Bitcoin (BTC) will once again face a critical moment on September 8, 2025. Historical data shows that this day was one of the worst days for Bitcoin since its inception, with an average drop of 1.30% and a probability of a drop as high as 72%. 【 01 Reproduction of Historical Curse 】 Cryptocurrency analyst Timothy Peterson previously emphasized that September 8th was the seventh worst trading day in Bitcoin history. Compared to the average probability of an increase of 53% and a rise of 0.10%, there was a significant abnormal fluctuation on September 8th. What is even more worrying is that Bitcoin's performance on September 8th often sets the tone for the entire month. Historical statistics show that if the closing price of a day rises, the probability of the monthly line closing up is 75%; On the contrary, if the closing price falls, the probability of the monthly line closing down is as high as 90%. Not just in terms of daily performance, the entire month of September was a challenge for Bitcoin. According to Coinglass data, September was the weakest month in Bitcoin's history, with an average return of -3.33%. 【 02 Current Market Performance 】 Today's market trend showed that BTC prices fell below $111000 at one point, with a low of $110980.18. Although the 24-hour increase remained at 0.67%, market volatility significantly intensified. This decline occurred after Bitcoin recently hit $113000, indicating that the market is in a critical stage of direction selection. Analysts point out that September 6-17 is a critical window of events, and market maker activity and Federal Reserve decisions may affect the trend of Bitcoin. 【 03 Interweaving of long and short factors 】 Despite facing a historic curse, there are still a series of positive factors in the market. Analyst Rand observed that the Bitcoin holdings on the exchange have dropped to a six-year low, which may indicate a reduction in selling pressure. At the same time, the momentum indicator has turned from negative to positive. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates on September 17th, with a probability of up to 92% according to the CME FedWatch tool, which could boost risk assets. Good news also came from the regulatory aspect. The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has released its Spring 2025 Agenda, aimed at establishing clear rules for cryptocurrency assets, which has boosted investor confidence. The long-term prospects remain bright Despite the intensification of short-term fluctuations, the long-term forecast for Bitcoin remains extremely optimistic. Analyst Tuur Demeester pointed out in his recently released "How to Plan Bitcoin Prosperity (2025 Edition)" that Bitcoin is currently in an unprecedented bull market cycle. Demeester predicts that the price of Bitcoin is expected to break through the $500000 mark in this cycle. The influx of institutional funds through ETFs is an important support for this optimistic prediction. The spot Bitcoin ETF currently holds approximately 1.4 million bitcoins, with a peak daily inflow of over 194 million US dollars in 2025. Technical analysis shows that if Bitcoin can firmly hold the 114-115K support area, it is still possible for it to rebound to the 120-125K range. However, once this support area is lost, it may rebound to the range of 108-112K. The market is being guided by institutional capital flows and policy changes, and investors need to patiently wait for breakthroughs or support confirmations before making decisions Operation suggestion: - BTC 110850 long first target watch 111950 second target watch 112850; ETH 4265 long. First target: 4325. Second target: 4375. Join the language community communication group to obtain more services 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system- 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Every day, there are teachers in the group who provide precise positioning to answer questions and offer free guidance. Tencent Meeting Live: 985-066-2513 DingTalk Group Number: 120320009032 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.