Actually, it’s not that I’m fixated on the idea of the 'final dip,' but looking at historical data, during the last nine instances when the federal funds rate exceeded 5%, seven of those times led to a recession during the rate-cutting cycle. This isn’t something I’m making up—it’s backed by historical statistics. So even from a purely probabilistic standpoint, the likelihood of entering the 'final dip' is high. Of course, I hope it doesn’t happen, but my preparation involves holding onto spot positions while keeping cash ready. Before the 'final dip,' I’ll try to clear out small altcoins with no market activity as much as possible. For the tokens I hold, my top picks are those with high popularity, like BTC (no explanation needed); those with large capital inflows, like ETH (recently the largest); those from leading and profitable platforms, like BNB and OKB (buyback, burn, and dividends); or those with promising futures, like SOL (high probability of passing spot ETF approval and staking opportunities). This way, if my estimate is wrong and there’s no recession, even if I miss out on the altcoin season, I can still profit from the tokens I hold that are rising. But if a recession does occur, I’ll have cash ready to buy Bitcoin and other assets at the bottom, waiting for interest rates to return to 0.25% or zero and for liquidity injections. As long as there’s a recession, liquidity injections are almost 100% guaranteed—that’s the logic behind the 'final dip.' No one is always right, but based on economic cycles, I believe this preparation is relatively safe. There are many ways to make money, but none are easy; losing money, however, is very simple. Respect the economic cycle, respect the market. Sponsored by Bitget ｜ @Bitget_zh