During the live broadcast of Three Kingdoms College: Tonight's non farm night at 20.30, if the employment exceeds 100000 yuan, is it equivalent to a "death sentence" for interest rate cuts?

三国学院
三国学院|Sep 05, 2025 13:01
Click on the link to join the meeting directly: https://meeting.tencent.com/p/7890471408 The US non farm payroll data, as a key indicator reflecting the employment status of the US non-agricultural population, has attracted much attention in the financial field and has an undeniable impact on the financial market and Bitcoin. In terms of financial markets, the performance of non farm payroll data will cause waves in multiple segmented markets. In the stock market, when non farm payroll data performs well, economic expansion signals are obvious, and corporate profit expectations improve, investors will actively buy stocks to drive the stock market up; When the data is poor, investors will worry about the economic outlook and sell their stocks, leading to a decline in stock prices. In the foreign exchange market, non farm payroll data is closely related to the US dollar exchange rate. Strong data attracts international capital inflows, leading to increased demand for the US dollar and thus strengthening; On the contrary, weak data leads to a depreciation of the US dollar. In the bond market, strong employment data has raised concerns about inflation, and investors are demanding higher yields, leading to a decline in bond prices and an increase in yields; Under weak data, bonds are in high demand for safe haven, leading to price increases and yield decreases. In the commodity market, gold is negatively correlated with the US dollar, and when non farm data drives the appreciation of the US dollar, gold prices may fall; The oil price is supported by the expectation of economic growth, which leads to an increase in demand when data is good. The Bitcoin market will also be indirectly affected by non farm payroll data. Non farm payroll data affects market sentiment and capital flow, with better than expected data and increased market confidence in economic recovery. Funds flow into traditional financial markets, and Bitcoin faces pressure from capital outflows, resulting in a price decline; The data fell short of expectations, market sentiment deteriorated, and investors invested some funds in Bitcoin as a safe haven, driving its price up. Technical Analysis BTC formed a weekly double top, but the mid track support did not break through and rebounded, breaking the level to 95000. ETH weekly chart is bearish and bullish, with 4600 not breaking and falling back to 4000. If 4000 falls below, it will eventually reach 3500. So, how do we proceed next? Teacher Zhao Yun, who has 9 years of practical trading experience in the cryptocurrency industry, will provide a detailed breakdown for everyone. Welcome to the live broadcast room to check in! Join the Three Kingdoms College Exchange Group to receive more services: 1. Real time troubleshooting (online one-on-one question answering and sorting) 2. Professional technical analysis and theoretical learning 3. Construction and improvement of trading system 4. Live streaming courses every day, contract termination, real-time order making, to help you successfully land! Official QQ group: 579358784 Tencent Meeting ID: 789-047-1408 Disclaimer: The above content only represents the author's personal opinion and is intended to assist investors in understanding information related to the capital market. It does not constitute any investment advice and does not represent the position or viewpoint of AiCoin. The market is risky and investments should be made with caution.
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