Analysis: The S&P 500 has been above its 20 day moving average for 68 consecutive days, indicating that market volatility is expected to intensify

律动BlockBeats|Aug 04, 2025 00:53
BlockBeats News: On August 4th, The Kobeissi Letter released its latest analysis stating whether the volatility of the US stock market is about to intensify? The VIX volatility index has fallen by about 45 points since April, reaching about 15 points, the lowest level since mid February. In addition, the S&P 500 index has been trading above its 20 day moving average for 68 consecutive days, the longest duration since the 1990s.
From a historical perspective, market volatility was relatively low from May to July. However, starting from August, VIX usually rises by about 5 points, or approximately 30%, in the following 3 months. History shows that market volatility is expected to intensify.
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