At present, the most popular candidates for the chairman of the Federal Reserve in the market are Besant, Walsh, Hassett and Waller. Although Besant is Trump's favorite, Trump also said that he would prefer Besant to stay in the position of treasury secretary, so according to the data given by Kalshi, Walsh has the highest probability, followed by Hassett and Waller. Because both Walsh and Waller have the background of Fed directors, Walsh is a former director, and has certain influence on the internal of the Federal Reserve. I personally predict that Trump will very likely announce the successor of the Federal Reserve Chairman before and after the tariff is completely settled, so as to resolve the negative effect of investors on tariff inflation. The interest meeting in July may be more important, to see what kind of speech Powell will have. This article is sponsored by Bitget | @ Bitgetzh