
The Kobeissi Letter|Jul 12, 2025 20:54
China is dealing with severe deflation:
China’s producer prices (PPI) dropped -3.6% YoY in June, the sharpest decline since July 2023.
This also marks the 33rd consecutive month of factory-gate deflation, one of the longest streaks on record.
Meanwhile, the consumer price index (CPI) increased +0.1% YoY, ending a four-month decline.
However, excluding precious metals, CPI remained in deflation.
Weak domestic demand, overcapacity, and price wars continue to weigh on prices.
China's deflationary spiral is intensifying.
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