财经少华
财经少华|Jun 15, 2025 08:36
Let's talk about the long-term returns of investing in Bitcoin The long-term return performance of Bitcoin and the sustained participation of retail investors indicate that potential demand is expanding in sync with market maturity. Analyze the following points: Strong cyclical returns: Bitcoin has risen to $105000 from its 2022 low of $17000, with a return rate of 517%, consistent with historical cycles (1076% in 2015-18 and 1007% in 2018-22). This high return model strengthens the confidence of long-term holders and attracts new investors through the FOMO effect, driving market demand growth. Coexistence of retail investors and institutions: Although the entry threshold has been raised due to price increases (now requiring five times the capital by 2022), on chain data shows that the number of addresses holding over 0.01 BTC has increased by 33%, and the number of addresses holding over 1 BTC has exceeded 1 million. This indicates that retail investors have not withdrawn due to high costs, but have actively expanded their holdings, complementing the growth of institutional investors and demonstrating the breadth and depth of market demand. The transition from speculation to value storage: Bitcoin gradually evolved from a high-risk speculative asset to a mature means of value storage. The increase in institutional holdings reflects its long-term value drive, while the behavior of individual investors (holding rather than frequent trading) further consolidates this framework, indicating increased market confidence in BTC's future potential. Market maturity improvement: Bitcoin, as a trillion dollar asset class, competes with traditional markets such as the "Big Seven tech Stocks", and its resilient returns and holding patterns indicate a more robust market structure. The joint participation of retail investors and institutions, as well as their adaptation to higher capital thresholds, reflects the increasing acceptance and maturity of BTC in the market. Overall, the sustained returns and increasing holdings of Bitcoin indicate that potential demand has not weakened due to its expansion, but has instead increased in sync with market maturity. This multi-level investor confidence (retail investors+institutions) provides a solid foundation for the long-term development of Bitcoin. BTC
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