
Phyrex|Jun 13, 2025 13:58
Capital Economics states that if Israel attacks Iran's oil production and export facilities, Brent crude oil prices could soar to $80 to $100 per barrel, potentially driving up inflation.
The company's economist stated that this situation could lead to an increase of approximately 0.5 to 1.0 percentage points in inflation rates in developed markets by the end of this year.
They suspect that the surge in oil prices will lead OPEC+oil producing countries to increase production, thereby limiting the duration of inflation shocks, but any increase in energy inflation will be another reason for central banks to cautiously cut interest rates, and the Federal Reserve should also maintain a wait-and-see attitude at present.
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