
加密前线(糖哥)|Jun 13, 2025 08:08
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC 06/13
Many people say that the market here is difficult to do, but the essence is still a matter of crossing the river with a small horse, not knowing how to deal with the difficult, and not being difficult for those who know. In fact, the market has never changed, but the difficulty lies in our obsession that has blinded our eyes, making it difficult to see the way forward; The difficulty lies in the fact that we always want what we want, and thus always lose the fruits that are easily accessible.
Let go of the obsession of prejudice, let go of the "I thought", pick up a simple combination of tactics, follow the structure, and you will begin to show results.
From the weekly trend, it can be seen that the structure of BTC has not changed since May 22nd, and is essentially a limited consolidation trend after the bull trend surged.
From the 12H to the daily trend, the price belongs to a normal decline in the bullish structure, with relatively clear structural support below. There is almost no trend rebound at present, but there is also a sign of slowing down the downward trend, supporting the long and short operations during the downward process.
From the 4H trend, the price has reached the support level of MA250 in the form of a bearish candlestick, which is also a common question of whether the support is effective? Firstly, the upward trend of MA250 is definitely supported, but the selling pressure has not been fully released when the bearish candlestick line falls directly. Therefore, both support and suppression are present. The common trend is to confirm the retracement after breaking the level, or to repeatedly entangle with the moving average after the price reaches support, and then choose the opportunity to break or break through (this is another topic, I will publish a special article to discuss it when I have free time that day).
Usually, when this trend occurs, the internal structure tends to be bearish, which limits the height of the initial pullback, so there is no need to have too much expectation.
From the trend of 1H and below levels, short-term structures are generally bearish. After the 1H price effectively fell below MA250 in the morning, there was a significant negative divergence during the second dip. The current pullback is to repair the negative divergence and confirm the pullback after falling below support, making it difficult to show a big chance. Low volatility and further decline are highly probable,
So, if there are many upward positions, we don't do them and only consider high throwing; Only make a further 1H dip or rebound after hitting a new low.
Summary: The high-level structure is still in a bullish trend, and the downward trend after a pullback will relatively slow down. The low-level structure is a pullback trend into the bearish side, with little room for short-term upward movement. The combination of the two is to only hit the low-level refresh low point and reach the high-level support level to look at the long and short positions.
Short term suppression of 105588~106120 (resistance reference, no breakthrough type), short-term support of 102077~100766 (1:2 rebound, fast in and fast out), second support of 99490~96570 (non existing range, 1:2 hanging)
Note: The structure today is not very ideal. Please make the single point position larger and do not force it. BTC
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