
财经少华|Jun 08, 2025 12:12
Is Bitcoin Following in the Footsteps of Gold? The trend is similar, and it is expected to reach a new high in the third quarter of 2025
The pullback of Bitcoin after reaching a historic high earlier this year is not only healthy, but also highly consistent with the recent bull market trend of gold. Technical analysis shows that although the time range of Bitcoin price is different from that of gold, its structure is similar.
The historical form of gold began in the initial distribution area from 2011 to 2013, followed by a long accumulation period that lasted until mid-2019. After laying the foundation, the gold price entered a phase of re accumulation and continued until 2023, followed by explosive growth, recently breaking through the high point of $3300 per ounce.
After rising to $69000 at the end of 2021, Bitcoin entered the distribution phase in 2022. A typical fundraising structure will be formed in 2023, followed by a breakthrough of $45000 and entering a new fundraising phase at the end of 2024, which will be consistent with the price trend of gold before the breakthrough.
Bitcoin is expected to achieve a breakthrough in the third quarter of 2025
It is worth noting that after initially rising to a new high of slightly over $2750, gold also experienced a similar pullback during the rebound phase. After reaching a high, gold also experienced a pullback, and Bitcoin did the same. This means that the current price behavior of Bitcoin is not weak, but rather a consolidation before the next round of rise. Just as gold breaks through and eventually re accumulates the box before rising vertically, Bitcoin may soon follow suit.
Based on fractal similarity and overall trend behavior, it is predicted that Bitcoin will reach a cyclical peak of $125000-130000 in the third quarter of 2025.
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