paulwei|6月 05, 2025 12:01
In March, I posted a picture (Figure 1) in a tweet about SOL,
It is a long-term comparison of SOL/BTC and ETH/BTC exchange rate charts,
one
At that time, SOL/BTC was around 0.00168, and currently it is 0.00145,
It looks like 'sol/btc is following the old path of eth/btc',
The trend over the past three months is likely to increase this probability (Figure 2)
two
So as one of the main gambling tables on Sol,
Look at the Trump/USDT and Trump/BTC exchange rates,
In the past six months since its birth, it can be said that it has been weaker,
It can be seen that the upward sentiment has never maintained more than a weekly line,
It's very similar to inheriting the fast mutual P gene on SOL ..
three
Assuming this is the case:
"The birth of the Trump coin is the highlight of the first year. In the second half of the year, we should continue to eliminate the foam and continue to weaken",
So, considering the above factors 1 and 2, the Trump/BTC exchange rate should be even less optimistic in the second half of 2025 ..
If based on the above assumptions, it can be concluded that
In the second half of the year, regardless of whether the market is good or bad,
If the conclusion is that both Trump and BTC exchange rates are not optimistic,
Its liquidity is relatively high compared to other memes, especially when viewed again,
After plotting exchange rates such as Trump/sol (Figure 3), sol/eth, and sol/bnb, I feel that,
Can I invest an appropriate position to short Trump/USDT,
At least as a hedging tool when holding other positions in different currencies?
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