加密前线(糖哥)
加密前线(糖哥)|Jun 04, 2025 09:55
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC 06/04 In the general direction of BTC, it belongs to the limited pullback repair structure after the bullish trend at the weekly level, which has been hinted at for the past two weeks and is also an operational background that cannot be ignored in the coming weeks. From the daily trend, the trajectory of price movement follows the model proposed at the end of last month, which operates in accordance with MA30. If bearish, she hasn't broken through yet, it's too early; If you are bullish and there is no decent rebound after 5 days, it is also not valid. It can only indicate that the low-level selling pressure and high-level support are both present, and the energy of these two forces offsetting each other has not dissipated yet. We can only rely on the low-level to make some short-term opportunities first, and follow up separately after further direction is determined. From the perspective of the 4H trend, the viewpoint discussed above is relatively clear. Since the price fell below MA120 on May 30th, it has been hovering between MA120 (high) and MA180 (low) for the past 5 days, without further breakthrough or drop. In this environment, MA120 and MA180 play important roles of support and suppression respectively, and the price has been touched multiple times but the winner has not been determined. Below are some subjective speculations based on personal experience for your reference: (1) If the price within the range retraces to a more aggressive position near MA180 with a good stop loss, you can try again, (2) After effectively breaking through the track, the second step can be done, (3) The rebound after effectively falling below the lower limit and the rebound after oversold can be achieved I won't write about anything else that needs to be addressed by checking the disk. From the trend of 1H and below, it can be seen that the K-line has no complete structure, the moving average system is disordered, there is insufficient room for upper and lower fluctuations, and the reference value is not high. For the trend of 4H and above, it can be seen as long or short. Summary (1): The price has broken through 107500 and is transmitted to the weekly chart, with a high probability of time consolidation; If the price falls below the current oscillation range and seeks a rebound around 101500 at 103300, the probability of a weekly spatial adjustment is higher. Summary (2): In terms of intraday operations, 4HMA180's aggressive single target trading can still be done once, with small stop loss and small profit types; At the same time, it is necessary to reserve hanging orders at 4HMA250 and below. Recently, my voice has been hoarse, and I feel like I can't finish expressing myself in words. Let's use the top ranked tactics to dialectically look at them. Here are some reference points: Radical order: 105023~104710 in, stop loss 103650 (1H entity), take profit and close as soon as possible, or trigger stop loss and withdraw immediately Short term suppression of 106469~106946 (without breaking through), the break through point should wait for the 24th to 36th hour after the price reaches 107500. Short term support 102302~101366 (fast in and fast out), second support 98450~95695 (1:2 sharp drop to rebound) BTC
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