财经少华
财经少华|May 15, 2025 03:22
Analyze SOL In May, SOL attracted investors' attention with its strong trading volume, and the market showed a long short game pattern towards its monthly closing price expectations. $190 is the mainstream expectation: There is a 71% probability of betting on a closing price close to $190, supported by trading volume exceeding $310000. There is a significant divergence between long and short positions: the expected probability of $210 is 34% (with a trading volume of $187000), indicating partial optimism; But the $140 hedge bet reaches $364000 (probability 18%), reflecting market concerns about the risk of a pullback. In extreme price ranges, although the probability of $250 (7%) and $300 (1%) is low, the trading volume is considerable, implying speculation or diversified betting. On the technical side, a short-term cautious signal is released: the current SOL price is $179.64 (up more than 3% in 24 hours), and although MACD maintains a positive trend, its historical form is often accompanied by a pullback. The pressure level of $184 and the support level of $178/173.90 form a short-term game range. Under the interweaving of market sentiment and technical indicators, whether SOL can break through pressure and continue its upward trend depends on observing the game between long and short funds and the digestion of overbought signals. SOL
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