
加密前线(糖哥)|May 13, 2025 08:03
Daily Market Interpretation - BTC 05/13
Yesterday, after falling below MA30 in 15 minutes, it took three forms of decline. When the price was at 104000, Sugar Brother suggested that the trend at this level was not ideal. Referring to short-term support, a 30 minute retracement to MA250 and a retracement to the early rising middle position rebounded. Local rebounds appeared in short-term support, providing opportunities for fast in and fast out.
From 12H to the daily trend, the overall price is in a bullish structure with a bullish trend. The current volatility is within the normal range of the third upward sideways trend, and there is still a chance for the fourth daily line to rise. The overall direction is not bad; However, after last week's sharp rise, there was not enough time for short-term recovery, and the support below had not caught up, making it difficult to continue the rise. The main short-term operating modes were sudden drops at the hourly line or above, followed by rebounds, and breakthrough retracements below the 30 minute mark.
From the 1H to 4H trend, prices are all below MA30, but above the upward MA250. In this trend, the upward buying point needs to wait for a breakthrough and retracement before it can be made. Do not chase after the rise before breaking through; But the underlying linkage of large-scale trends is supported by multiple candlestick structures and moving average systems, and can actively participate in rebounding in the event of a pullback.
From the 15 minute to 30 minute trend, the prices are all below the downward MA250, and the moving average system is generally in a downward bearish divergence state, which undoubtedly poses resistance to short-term price rebounds. There is no need to chase higher prices before effectively breaking through, just beware of a second dip. After the second dip breaks through the low, support levels above 1H will be linked to participate in the rebound.
Summary: The major level is in a bullish structure with a bullish trend, and the overall direction is not bad; The small level is on the bearish side after breaking through, and it is not easy to rise in the short term. The main opportunity for operation lies in the retracement after the 30 minute level breakthrough and the linkage of the support structure at the 1H level or above after the low breakthrough,
Reference for market indicators: retracement after breaking through between MA250 and 120 within 30 minutes, followed by the second uptrend in 1H and the MA180~250 range. The reference points are as follows:
Short term suppression of 103300~104220 (can be entered by stepping back on the 1035~1031 area after arrival, and is also the stop loss level for short-term short orders), short-term support of 100940~99540~98610 (1:1:2, can be split), and medium-term support of 93933~90695 (not within the existing fluctuation range, but can be hung) BTC
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