
gm365|Apr 14, 2025 13:49
🚀 Dream version: Pushing MEME ATH to sell hypothetical return analysis
Assuming, I mean assuming:
Push MEME, buy 100U each. What is the potential return if the token ATH (highest point) is subsequently sold?
It is said that leeks love to fantasize, but calculating the potential maximum return is not impossible.
Simply put, the conclusion is that the returns are quite good.
The 90 tokens pushed have all yielded positive returns;
The highest returns are: BANG, The highest point of return is 25 times;
Top five average returns: 12 times
🤔 What problem does it indicate?
Compared to the strategy analyzed earlier: buy and hold firmly, and sell at the highest point, the returns will be astonishing. Even in such a poor market, there is still a maximum return of 25 times.
Of course, no one can sell at the highest point, let alone sell every coin bought in ATH.
But at least this gives us an inspiration:
In addition to filtering and screening bought MEMEs, choosing when to sell is crucial for profitability.
❓ What is the best selling strategy?
Selling ATH belongs to 'hindsight' and is impossible to achieve. But it can optimize the selling strategy.
In response to the astonishing rise and fall of memes on the chain, it is possible to consider taking losses/profits in batches. But stop loss must be firm, take profit can be more aggressive.
For example:
Drop by 20%, stop loss by 35%;
Drop 50%, clear position.
Increase by 50%, take profit by 35%;
Increase by 100%, take profit by 50%;
Probably an unequal take profit and stop loss strategy.
We can conduct backtesting for different strategies.
In addition, more effort can be put into screening MEMEs, as there are too many SCAM scam coins that quickly reset to zero.
Here is the complete data analysis:
---ATH Potential Return Analysis---
Analyzed total number of valid tokens: ninety
Initial investment for each token: one hundred
Total initial investment: nine thousand
---Overall potential performance (sold at ATH price)---
Total potential maximum value: twenty-five thousand four hundred and forty-four point seven eight
Total potential maximum profit: sixteen thousand four hundred and forty-four point seven eight
Overall potential maximum return rate: 182.72%
Number of tokens with potential positive returns: 90 (100.00%)
Average potential return rate (%): 182.72%
Median potential return rate (%): 84.37%
---Top 5 tokens with potential return rate (%)---
Name, Potential Return Rate (%)
BANG, 2545%
UncleSam, 997%
ppp, 992%
MEMEWAR, 855%
$Wo, 766%
Top 5 average potential return rate: 1231.33%
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