What impact do the strategies of the US government, the policies of the Federal Reserve, and the rise and fall of US stocks have on the money market? 1. Trump takes office to push Bitcoin up: Trump supports Bitcoin reserves, institutions and large investors enter the market, BTC rises from 70000 to 100000, but then falls short of expectations of interest rate cuts and enters a downward channel. 2. Independence of the Federal Reserve: The key factors for the Fed to cut interest rates are inflation, employment, and economic growth. Currently, these three factors are stable and there is no incentive to cut interest rates, but Trump needs to cut interest rates to promote the return of the manufacturing industry. 3. US government fiscal crisis: Government funds are tight and may shut down in June, further affecting market confidence and economic expectations. 4. Human intervention in economic data: Trump attempted to artificially create an economic recession through measures such as layoffs and spending cuts, forcing the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. 5. The cryptocurrency market follows the volatility of the US stock market: BTC and ETH are linked to the US stock market, and the cryptocurrency market is sluggish! 6. Investment strategy: The current trend is downward, short BTC and ETH at high prices, pay attention to interest rate signals and new capital inflows, and wait for the trend to reverse.