冷静冷静再冷静
冷静冷静再冷静|3月 09, 2025 14:43
I feel a bit bored at night, just write something casually. Recently, there has been a lot of buzz on Twitter about business owners and female caregivers. To be honest, everyone has the freedom to choose their own lifestyle, but it's really low to talk about their private lives all day long and even boast about how many college students they have taken care of. I may still be too traditional, and I really don't want college students who have just entered the industry to think that this is a normal way of life. My values still believe that we should be serious about dating and getting married haha. In my previous tweet, I thought the news about Bitcoin's strategic reserve was negative, but there are still many comments that consider it short-term negative and long-term positive. I would like to discuss this topic from the perspective of a trader. If you are BTC MAXI, you don't need to look at it anymore. This reminds me of similar news events that have occurred multiple times in recent months. Many people will further reverse their thinking based on common sense and intuition, and come to a conclusion that is contrary to common sense. I have listed a few that have left a deep impression in recent months: For example, if Trump's wife sends money, according to common sense, such news is definitely negative. But after the sharp drop that morning, I saw many opinions that were "Trump only has one", "His whole family is embracing cryptocurrency", "Outsiders only buy Trump coins and don't even know that his wife is issuing them". There should be many people holding or buying stocks because of these opinions When asked about Trump Coin during his speech, Trump said, 'I released it, but I don't know much about it.'. My first reaction was negative, which is like a dev saying he doesn't know much about his coin, so there's a high probability that he won't mention it again in the future. But a lot of opinions are that Trump admitted that the coin was issued by him, which is positive. In my opinion, this is known information and also why the coin can rise to tens of billions. The new message from Trump's statement is that he doesn't know much about this coin. Returning to the news about Bitcoin's strategic reserve, a few days before Trump signed the executive order, both Twitter and Bloomberg reported that the price increase of BTC in those two days had already exceeded this expectation. At this time, the news that the strategic reserve did not purchase BTC separately was intuitively not a good message. Of course, you can say that in the long run, this means that BTC has been officially accepted by the government, which is a long-term positive. But the problem is that this is not a sudden news - after Trump was elected, BTC rose from 7W to 10W, which was originally a reflection of the market's expectation of the new US government's pro cryptocurrency. What is the most direct action after this kind of news comes out? My experience is to trust your intuition and sell immediately. If you miss the first opportunity, don't rush and wait for a rebound to sell firmly. Usually, the first wave of rebound comes quickly because there are always people who engage in reverse thinking and try to buy at the bottom. But from historical experience, the simplest intuition is often the most correct. I quite enjoy doing this kind of retrospective thinking at night, especially thinking about 'when to sell'. Many people focus on buying points, but learning when to sell is more important than buying.
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