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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 95.5%

金色财经
金色财经|2月 26, 2025 22:24
According to a report by Golden Finance, according to CME's "Federal Reserve Watch", the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in March is 95.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 4.5%. The probability of maintaining the current interest rate unchanged until May is 75.1%, the probability of reducing interest rates by 25 basis points cumulatively is 23.9%, and the probability of reducing interest rates by 50 basis points cumulatively is 1%.
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Timeline

3月 28, 16:41【Federal Reserve inflation index rises, Bitcoin falls】
3月 28, 16:26【Bitcoin falls below 85000】
3月 28, 14:23【Reasonable expectation of two more interest rate cuts in 2025】
3月 28, 13:22【The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation indicator for February rose more than expected】
3月 28, 12:51【The Federal Reserve's inflation index accelerated again in February】
3月 28, 12:46【US inflation remains stubborn, traders continue to bet on interest rate cuts】
3月 28, 12:34【Personal consumption expenditure and core personal consumption expenditure data】
3月 28, 12:32【Core PCE data exceeds market expectations】
3月 28, 12:31【Federal Reserve Inflation Indicator Personal Consumption Expenditure Inflation Rate】
3月 28, 11:06【The potential impact of tariffs on inflation is still unclear】

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