Any investment target's bottom support mainly comes from two categories:
1. Fundamentals: including income, buybacks, destruction, future, etc.
2. Sentiment: consensus, narrative, speculation, emotions, etc.
When dealing with some currencies that have very weak or no fundamentals, price movements are the only fundamental. Being bearish on them actually divides into two completely different ways:
1. Incorrect bearishness = believing it will drop in the short term or long term
This is irrational; any investment target, even a project on the verge of delisting, can still rise, so this kind of bearishness is meaningless.
2. Correct bearishness = comparing it with more and better assets, then assessing the fundamentals and sentiment, trying to hold it for a longer term, and then making a judgment unrelated to short-term/long-term price movements: that is, do I have to participate in it? Is it the only option to participate in? If the answer is I can choose not to participate, then this kind of bearishness is made after judgment and is fine.
Making money, I actually mainly did push-ups in an ascending elevator in the past; in essence, I was just in the car, making money from the rising.
Finding an ascending elevator is best with the higher possible height, this is the only certain correct thing.
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