The market is moving too fast, yesterday's ideas have all been overturned. The original thought was to give a short position, and in the remaining three days of this week, it turned out to return to its original position in just one day. Such volatility feels like explaining it is a waste of energy. For the subsequent trends, old Cui still holds a bearish view. Yesterday also set a new short-term low of 75158; the break won't be far. Every time such a market scenario occurs, there are always friends in contracts who want to know the highs and lows within the range. As mentioned many times, old Cui doesn't have that capability, yet there will always be new fans. So, let me repeat once more, this time the rebound to the 81000 position was not part of old Cui's plan. The only thing old Cui knows is that going short at the 78000 position can make a profit, but as for rebounds caused by political factors, the high points cannot be estimated. The rapid rebound of 78000-80000 saw old Cui respond to some users, giving his personal opinion, which almost unanimously indicated that this wave might be the last surge.

Old Cui's thinking is quite different from all of you, but I can understand your thoughts; let’s talk about two representative users. One is a friend involved with SOL, who expressed a strong desire to buy around 70-80, but did not make a purchase. The second is a user stuck in a position, who didn't manage to buy above 85000 and ended up being stuck around 78300 the day before yesterday, ultimately choosing to cut losses at 80300. Both of these users have a commonality: the one wanting to go long thinks of a lower position, while the one wanting to short seeks a higher position. Meanwhile, these two users' mistakes don’t really hurt old Cui personally; internally, there are no waves. Indeed, old Cui has seen too many users and is accustomed to this way of thinking and trading. The user with SOL was very direct when I told him to buy; his reply was: “Teacher, I feel SOL can reach 30.” This was the mainstream voice in the market at that time.

Old Cui certainly did not refute and supported his idea. Afterwards, this user began to feel that old Cui seemed to have the intention of watching him lose, indeed feeling a bit weird about me. Very interesting, how should I put it? The market maker for SOL is not me, and I did not issue this coin. To be more specific, will the range of 30-40 be reached? Old Cui personally cannot know, but I recognize its value. Even if it drops to the 30-40 range, to pull back above 100 would take less than half a year. This is the reason why old Cui supports buying. If users express a willingness to wait, old Cui will also respect everyone’s thoughts; the final result is indeed not something old Cui has to bear. The choice lies within each of you; whether in profit or loss, the impact on old Cui is not significant. The second one, being one step behind at the critical level of 85000, causes an imbalance in the heart, always feeling that old Cui’s entry point is higher and safer.

However, after old Cui entered the market, he also encountered a new high of 87385, where the direct loss points also reached 2385, with a floating loss nearing ten thousand. Old Cui can understand everyone’s fear; many friends' personal assets are irreplaceable. So, when the market started to rise to 84000, there was no time to reply to everyone; posting on Moments was meant to give everyone a sense of assurance. Old Cui’s approach was explained yesterday; he realized profits on three bitcoins at 85400 and bought five bitcoins short near 80400. Why this operation? Firstly, to tell everyone that old Cui is still here. Secondly, to expand profits from previous gains; the initial position was only 20000, unable to buy more bitcoins. After realizing profits, there happened to be a position of 35000, buying five bitcoins to manage the position to 7000 points, which is relatively safe. This is not a matter of trust; medium-term operations test the acceptance ability of the first order.

In simpler terms, at the point of 85000, through data judgment, old Cui could clearly know one thing: it certainly can't reach 92000; therefore, old Cui's thought is that as long as the liquidation is above this point, this position can make a profit. A novice's thought is to go short at 92000, which is the different point. Especially afterwards, after hitting 87000, confidence bolstered, internally one can only feel, my thought is correct. Under such psychological support, old Cui truly had no good way; at that time, you were indeed right. Everyone should not blindly follow old Cui; personal worship is not desirable. Looking at old Cui's articles also requires coherence; do not jump to conclusions after reading one article. All of old Cui’s thoughts lean towards a medium-term perspective; short-term predictions are somewhat risky. The cases of these two users are not meant to mock or ridicule but are classic novice issues; I hope everyone can take warning from this and change their operational mindset.

Old Cui summarizes: predicting the subsequent market direction, the first profit target at 74000 is about to arrive. Old Cui's thinking is to analyze the subsequent market movements based on the strength of the breakdown; the variable lies in the Democratic Party's intensity aimed at Trump. Once it’s determined to audit Trump’s crypto assets, combined with interest rate hikes in December, the cryptocurrency market will undoubtedly face great turbulence. There’s even a possibility of setting new lows in the short term. Since I’ve chosen to realize profits at 85000, the holding time for this position will prolong. For users who have not entered the market, the best opportunity is to observe the 74000 point; at that time, old Cui will also notify everyone. If you want to operate short-term, after today’s pullback, you can enter the market, but the target for profit realization should not be too large; short-term operational gains must control within 500-1000, and stop loss should not be too large, within 1500 points. The position at 74000 is not far, the psychological expectation is that it will be born between this week and next, so everyone can patiently wait; the medium-term trend will not deviate too much. With specific operations, everyone can also pay attention to old Cui, check Moments, updates will be faster, and any unclear places can be asked directly.

Original creation by public account: On-Chain Science. For help, you can contact directly.

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