No surprise that Prediction markets are expanding into perps:
Even with the recent mid-terms, Polymarket trading volumes are basically flat over the year.
But while volumes are stable, active wallets, open interest and tx count are in decline.
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Most of users are indeed speculators & gamblers as election volumes are minuscule compared to sports and crypto .
So perps are enticing to Polymarket as they can squeeze speculators even more.
Still, unfortunate as I wish they focused on making their prediction market a better product and leave perps to HL, Lighter, Variational etc.
P.s. I don't even bother to report Kalshi data as their washtrading volumes are off the charts right now.



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