AI Boom and Correction Period: The Discrepancies in Bets Among Wall Street Institutions

CN
3 hours ago

October 19, 2026, is seen by many as a clear timeline—on one side, the ongoing two-year AI narrative continues to elevate valuations and financing stories, while on the other side, the stock market correction, which has lasted about three months, is still casting a shadow. The market swings between "high growth imagination" and "valuation correction reality." On this day and in the days surrounding it, Goldman Sachs, Multicoin Capital, and Morgan Stanley almost simultaneously issued radically different signals: Goldman Sachs raised Coreweave, which is highly related to AI infrastructure, from "neutral" to "buy," acknowledging its importance in this wave of AI hype, but simultaneously lowered its target price from $139 to $106, showing a shift to a positive attitude while clearly tightening short-term price expectations; in the crypto venture capital circle, firms like Paradigm, Framework Ventures, and Haun Ventures have announced plans to expand into AI or robotics technology, while Multicoin, managing approximately $2.7 billion in assets, openly disagrees through managing partner Spencer Applebaum—refusing to follow the expansion into "pure AI," continuing to focus bets on digital/crypto assets, even making HYPE the largest position in the fund, responding to the temptation of "track drift" with concentrated bets; within the same timeframe, Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson assessed from a broader capital market perspective that this round of correction has entered its final stage, reminding investors to prepare for buying quality stocks on dips, citing historical data that suggests in similar environments, quality stocks often achieve about 7.5% relative outperformance in the following year. Against the backdrop of coexisting AI hype and correction, these parallel institutional actions do not establish a direct causal relationship but collectively sketch a picture of divergence in bets: some are betting on infrastructure at the crest, some are sticking to on-chain assets, while others are waiting for a recovery in market sentiment. The following narrative aims to dissect the true positions of each regarding strategic resilience and asset preferences along this line of divergence.

Goldman Sachs Raises Rating While Lowering Target Price

Around October 19, 2026, Goldman Sachs’ latest pricing for Coreweave became one of the most tension-filled moves in this wave of AI hype: as a publicly listed company deeply linked to AI infrastructure, Coreweave is almost implicitly assumed to be at "the center of the wind." However, Goldman Sachs chose a combination that looks "contradictory"—raising the stock rating from "neutral" to "buy," while simultaneously lowering the target price from $139 to $106. This appears self-contradictory on the surface but actually reflects two judgments on different time dimensions within the same report: directional acknowledgment with a rhythmic brake. The upgrade pushes Coreweave from the margins of "can hold or ignore" into the ranks of "worth actively allocating"; the target price downgrade serves as a reminder to the market that, at these heightened valuations due to the AI infrastructure hype, Goldman Sachs is no longer willing to pay the original premium for short-term stories.

In the current environment where the AI sector is generally regarded as a growth totem, this approach sends a clear signal to investors: Goldman Sachs does not deny the long-term track value represented by Coreweave but prefers to delineate clear boundaries for short-term risks through the target price. For following investors, this forces them to begin splitting the two questions—"Is this a good company?" and "Is this a good buy at this price?"—instead of simply lumping them into a crude "bullish/bearish" label. For the entire AI sector, Goldman Sachs' actions provide a frame of reference: acknowledging the long-term supporting role of infrastructure assets during the hype while using lowered short-term expectations to hedge against potential valuation corrections. If investors want to find controllable risks and opportunities within the AI theme, this analysis path featuring both long and short-term attitudes is worth closely referencing.

Multicoin Swims Against the Tide: Abandoning AI Trends to Hold onto Crypto

As Wall Street reassesses AI infrastructure, the crypto venture capital circle has already set a different "trend-following" template: firms like Paradigm, Framework Ventures, and Haun Ventures have recently begun to extend their reach into AI or robotics technologies, expanding from a focus on on-chain protocols and applications to a broader technology stack. Their public actions convey a clear message—under current circumstances, even if they hail from crypto, it is best to include keywords like "AI" or "robotics" in investment narratives, or else they appear out of step. This expansion is not merely a subject switch, but rather an accommodation of fundraising parties, LPs, and secondary market sentiment: through cross-track layouts, they convey to the market that they will not be locked into a single path currently undergoing correction.

Multicoin Capital has chosen to stand against this trend. Its managing partner and co-head of venture capital, Spencer Applebaum, has publicly stated that the company will not emulate Paradigm, Framework Ventures, or Haun Ventures by expanding into pure AI or robotics but will continue to focus its resources and attention on digital assets/crypto assets, seeing this as Multicoin's core advantage. Making such a counter-choice in the same market environment is backed by a concentrated bet already reflected on the balance sheet: Multicoin currently manages about $2.7 billion in assets and holds HYPE as its largest position in the fund, while peers dilute their crypto exposure with "AI+X," it instead anchors itself on a single theme through size and position structure, which both amplifies sensitivity to the crypto cycle and constitutes a high-concentration belief that cannot be hedged with AI narratives.

Morgan Stanley: Signaling the End of a Three-Month Correction

On the same timeline where crypto funds bet on high-concentration themes for the future, Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson has firmly focused on the ongoing stock market correction that has persisted for about three months. His background of long-term tracking stock market cycles and valuation levels led him to give a controversial conclusion on October 19, 2026: this adjustment has entered its final stage. Wilson did not use absolute language such as "the bottom has been reached" to mark a specific time but emphasized a phased significance—in his view, the current situation resembles an ending interval, where the main compression of valuations and sentiment has already been completed, with the remainder being a transition period for re-pricing for the next market phase.

Following this judgment, the operational advice he offers is not to rush into the market but to "be prepared": laying out plans to buy quality stocks on dips during the correction's final phase. Wilson deliberately emphasizes this as a timing-based approach rather than a guarantee of returns; he knows that any hint of "now is a good time to buy" would be amplified by the market. To increase the persuasive power of this narrative, he cites historical backtesting data: in similar environments, quality stocks' performance typically exceeds about 7.5% in the following year. This set of numbers offers investors a quantifiable hope but also exposes its boundaries—the factual pool does not reveal the sample period, specific methods, nor does it specify the exact definition of "quality stocks" in this study, implying that this is merely empirically statistical based on a single source, rather than experiment-based conclusions that can be reproduced item by item. Wilson's strategic framework actually treats the combination of "end of correction + quality stocks relatively outperforming" as a higher probability scenario rather than a certainty. For capital willing to bear cyclical fluctuations, this statistical signal, filled with premises and uncertainties, serves more as a reference emotional anchor rather than a formula for guaranteed returns.

Three Concurrent Bets: The Intersection of AI, Crypto, and Correction Cycles

If Michael Wilson provided a macro timeline around "approximately three months of correction nearing its end, with quality stocks expected to relatively outperform by about 7.5% in the following year" on October 19, 2026, then the actions of Goldman Sachs and Multicoin nearby that day seem to mark points on different coordinate systems of this timeline. Goldman Sachs chose to closely track the single AI infrastructure target Coreweave, raising its rating from "neutral" to "buy," while simultaneously lowering its target price from $139 to $106, layering complex signals of obvious cooling in short-term price expectations while confirming long-term direction on the same company. This represents a concentrated individual stock bet, balancing cycles and growth. Adjacent to it are Morgan Stanley's strategic notes, which do not name specific companies but issue timing advice around "buying quality stocks on dips," defining the betting objects as a broad quality stock portfolio and locking in the betting dimension to the performance interval of the next year.

At the other end of the same timeline, Multicoin Capital responds to this wave of AI hype and correction environment with an entirely different language. This institution, managing approximately $2.7 billion, has publicly stated through managing partner Spencer Applebaum that it will not follow peers like Paradigm, Framework Ventures, and Haun Ventures in expanding into AI or robotics but will continue to focus on digital assets/crypto assets, viewing this segment as the company's core advantage, and using HYPE as its largest position to showcase its betting direction. Compared to Goldman Sachs' "rating + target price" combination bet on a single AI infrastructure stock, and Morgan Stanley's timing signal for "buying quality stocks on dips" around the correction's end, Multicoin's choice resembles a long-term position at the track level: not following the migration of AI concepts but persisting in its high-risk preference for crypto assets amid volatility. It is important to emphasize that these three events are fundamentally independent decisions and statements from each other; existing information does not prove a direct connection or market linkage between them. They are simply three types of betting strategies placed under the same temporal anchor, collectively sketching the current divergences in the rhythm of funds between the AI sector, crypto assets, and the broader stock market.

Finding Rhythm in Divergences: Observational Perspectives of Crypto Investors

When viewed within the same time window, Goldman Sachs' upgrade of Coreweave from "neutral" to "buy" while lowering the target price to $106 releases a cautious optimism around "directionally bullish for AI infrastructure stocks, with tightened rhythm"; Multicoin, in the context of Paradigm, Framework Ventures, and Haun Ventures expanding into AI or robotics, chooses to continue betting on digital assets at approximately $2.7 billion in scale, with HYPE as the largest position, reflecting focus and willingness to bear high risks within the crypto track; Morgan Stanley strategist Michael Wilson determines that the approximately three-month stock market correction has entered its end, reminding investors to prepare for buying quality stocks on dips, representing a timing judgment around the overall stock market rhythm. For individual investors, interpreting these public statements requires first separating long-term and short-term dimensions: Goldman Sachs and Wilson are more about evaluating timing for the allocation of stock markets and AI stocks, while Multicoin emphasizes long-term choices on highly volatile digital assets. At the same time, it is essential to recognize that the risk tolerance for traditional stocks and high-risk assets is entirely different; the same "buy" may correspond to completely different retreat tolerance intervals. These viewpoints essentially represent the positions of various institutions under specific environments around October 19, 2026, and do not constitute any guarantees of future returns or form a single causal chain; in the next phase of the intertwining evolution of AI and crypto, institutional strategies are likely to continue to diverge. What truly needs continuous tracking are their constantly updated public actions and viewpoints, rather than attempting to extract a standard answer that can replace independent research and self-risk assessment from any report.

Join our community, and let's discuss and get stronger together!
AiCoin Exclusive Hyperliquid Benefits: https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/join/AICOIN88
AiCoin Exclusive Aster Benefits: https://www.asterdex.com/zh-CN/referral/9C50e2
On-Chain Telegram Community: https://t.me/AiCoinWhaleData
On-Chain Community: https://www.aicoin.com/link/chat?cid=N6OVMor5g
AiCoin On-Chain Twitter: https://x.com/aicoinwhaledata

免责声明:本文章仅代表作者个人观点,不代表本平台的立场和观点。本文章仅供信息分享,不构成对任何人的任何投资建议。用户与作者之间的任何争议,与本平台无关。如网页中刊载的文章或图片涉及侵权,请提供相关的权利证明和身份证明发送邮件到[email protected],本平台相关工作人员将会进行核查。

Share To
APP

X

Telegram

Facebook

Reddit

CopyLink