The potential value of each point is approximately $0.1 to $0.4.

Written by: Asher (@Asher_0210), Planet Daily

This morning at 10 AM, the BNB Chain ecosystem prediction market predict.fun posted on the X platform "Soon," accompanied by an image featuring a token with the letter P, hinting at a possible token issuance.

Below, Odaily Planet Daily analyzes, based on all currently known information, when predict.fun will issue tokens and how much each point will be worth.

The only lone player in the prediction market track on BNB Chain, and has received two rounds of investment from YZi Labs

predict.fun is a prediction market platform on the BNB Chain, founded by the well-known figure in the NFT field, dingaling. Unlike traditional prediction markets such as Polymarket and Kalshi, on predict.fun, the funds users invest in predictions are not left idle; they can also generate additional income during the prediction period.

As of today, predict.fun has completed two rounds of financing, which are:

• December 2025 (Incubation / First Round): Entered Season 2 of YZi Labs EASY Residency, receiving its first round of investment and incubation support;
• April 2, 2026 (Strategic Follow-up): YZi Labs made another investment, and Susquehanna Crypto joined at the same time.

In addition, according to a response from founder dingaling regarding financing issues in the official Discord, new financing news may be announced soon.

Currently, predict.fun is embedded in the Binance main site and Binance wallet, allowing users to directly participate in prediction trading within the main site and wallet.

"Weeks, not months": Will TGE occur at the end of this month or the beginning of next month?

The official Twitter hints that many projects are about to issue tokens, but very few can complete TGE in a short time. Therefore, after predict.fun released "Soon" this morning at 10 AM, many "old players" were still skeptical, wondering if it was yet another way to delay TGE.

However, dingaling later quoted this tweet and stated, "Weeks, not months, predict and earn rewards," providing a clearer time signal than "Soon," indicating that the token issuance time for predict.fun has entered a countdown phase by weeks. After communicating with several early participants in predict.fun from the community, there is a general speculation that TGE might happen on a day 3 to 4 weeks from now, corresponding to the dates of the end of this month to the beginning of next month.

This token issuance signal also quickly reflected in the prediction market. According to Polymarket data, the probability of predict.fun issuing tokens before December 31 this year has risen nearly 40% in 24 hours, currently reported at 83%.

How much is 1 point worth in U?

To determine the value of 1 point, three pieces of data need to be clarified: first, the total amount of points; second, the off-market valuation; third, the airdrop ratio.

Total Points

The points structure of predict.fun can be roughly divided into four parts, with the points issued regularly each week making up the absolute majority; the Genesis points of the 0th period; points acquired from the merger with Probable (primarily exchanged at a ratio of 1:10); and points for ambassadors (100,000 points each week).

For estimation purposes, the sum of Genesis points and points exchanged with Probable is temporarily calculated according to the weekly regular issuance, which is about 10 million PP; the ambassador points are relatively small and thus not included for now. Therefore, the important calculation is of the points regularly issued each week, with the settlement cycle for predict.fun's points being weekly, at 10 PM every Tuesday. Today, the token issuance signal coincides with Tuesday, and after tonight's settlement, the points issuance for week 42 will be completed.

According to the statistics from week 1 to week 41, from week 1 to week 19, 10 million points were fixedly issued each week, totaling 190 million points; from week 20 onwards, the weekly issuance was no longer fixed, with a total issuance of 216,997,841 points over the 22 weeks from week 20 to week 41, approximately 217 million PP.

Based on this calculation, predict.fun has issued a total of 407 million points over the first 41 weeks. Week 42 is estimated to issue 10 million points, bringing the official total to 420 million points so far, plus the Genesis points and merger points, totaling 430 million points.

If we estimate as above, with TGE being at the end of October to the beginning of November, the total points amount is about 460 to 470 million. If the actual snapshot date for the airdrop is December 1st, the total amount of points would reach 500 million.

Pre-market valuation

According to Aspecta data, the pre-market valuation of predict.fun is approximately $750 million, with a total trading volume of $2.44 million.

Additionally, based on Polymarket data, the probability of predict.fun's FDV exceeding $800 million one day after opening is currently reported at 51%.

Given the current market sentiment, it is reasonable to estimate predict.fun's opening market value at around $700 to $800 million, and there is potential for FOMO sentiments such as "another round of financing" or "CZ calling again," with optimistic estimates reaching around $1 billion.

Airdrop ratio

Currently, there is no clear data to confirm the airdrop ratio for the first season, but two previous statements from dingaling in the official Discord can serve as reference: first, he believes that the 3% airdrop ratio of OPN is too low; second, when discussing the airdrop ratio of Variational in the community, he indicated that a ratio of 32% is unachievable.

Although these two statements cannot directly determine the airdrop ratio, they provide rough references for measurement. If predict.fun continues to carry out seasonal activities such as S2 and S3 after TGE, the team also needs to reserve tokens for future incentives. Therefore, this article tentatively estimates the first season airdrop ratio to be between 5% to 20% for subsequent point value calculations.

Point valuation

Based on the analysis above, the potential value of each point for predict.fun (with the total points estimated at 500 million, i.e., the snapshot date on December 1st, which is pessimistic; and the FDV estimated at $1 billion, which is optimistic):

• Pessimistic: Airdrop ratio 5% to 10%, each point worth $0.1 to $0.2;
• Neutral: Airdrop ratio 10% to 15%, each point worth $0.2 to $0.3;
• Optimistic: Airdrop ratio 15% to 20%, each point worth $0.3 to $0.4;
• Thus, the potential value of predict.fun points is approximately $0.1 to $0.4.