Although there were some fluctuations, the weekend passed relatively smoothly. The most important thing this weekend was the tug-of-war between Trump and Iran. On one hand, Iran indicated that there is hope for negotiations with Trump; on the other hand, Iran stated that the U.S. might launch a new round of strikes against Iran. However, Trump's own remarks were more ambiguous, stating that the relationship with Iran is open-ended and anything is possible. From a market perspective, returning to peace negotiations would be the best outcome.

After the Fed and Japan raised interest rates, there are not many short-term negative factors left in the market. Next week also lacks key data. Even though there are speeches from Fed officials almost daily, the contents are likely to remain the same, at most indicating that the next two meetings will raise interest rates, and currently, the market is beginning to anticipate a rate hike in October. The results of random poor data will likely just confirm this trend.

I personally feel that the market's focus is still on the U.S. and Iran, the U.S. and China, and the U.S. midterm elections. The relationship with Iran will depend on the trends in the Strait of Hormuz and the U.S. inflation trend, while the relationship with China will affect tariffs, rare earths, chips, AI, and the global supply chain. The upcoming summit between Trump and Xi is very important; it may not yield significant results, but as long as both sides are willing to continue talks and there are no sudden increases in tariffs or export restrictions, it would already be considered good news for the market.

Therefore, as long as there are no unexpected situations, Bitcoin and U.S. stocks should remain relatively stable, as long as Trump does not make any outrageous statements. Starting from next Tuesday, the dual currency's low buy will still be around $75,000.

@Gate Crypto, U.S. stocks, Hong Kong stocks, Korean stocks, gold, CFD, one-stop trading for prediction markets

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